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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Colonial Forge Eagles (10-5)

Region: VA Comw

State: VA

Coach: Blair Penny

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/11	MOUNTAIN VIEW (5-10)	VA Comw	86.0		W	12-	6		0.100
3/18	at Brooke Point (14-7)	VA Comw	94.0	3	L	5-	17		-0.150
3/23	POTOMAC-DUMFRIES (7-9)	VA Card	79.2		W	20-	1		0.000
3/25	STAFFORD (3-11)	VA Comw	83.5		W	18-	9		0.000
3/27	at Osbourn (6-8)	VA Cedar	85.0		W	9-	6		0.125
3/30	EASTERN VIEW (8-6)	VA Battfd	83.9		W	11-	5		0.000
4/01	at Albemarle (16-4)	VA Comw	94.5	2	L	6-	9		-0.175
4/03	at Yorktown (5-12)	VA Nationl	83.0		W	11-	7		0.075
4/08	at North Stafford (9-6)	VA Comw	92.9	4	W	8-	7		0.325
4/22	BROOKE POINT (14-7)	VA Comw	94.0	3	L	8-	12		-0.250
4/24	at Mountain View (5-10)	VA Comw	86.0		W	14-	7		0.175
4/29	at Stafford (3-11)	VA Comw	83.5		W	17-	0		0.075
5/06	NORTH STAFFORD (9-6)	VA Comw	92.9	4	L	4-	11		-0.275
5/11	MOUNTAIN VIEW (5-10)	VA Comw	86.0		W	11-	4		0.100
5/13	at Albemarle (16-4)	VA Comw	94.5	2	L	5-	6		-0.175
			87.9						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	H	Mountain View	12-	6	6	6		-1.67	-0.50
3/18	A	Brooke Point	5-	17	-12	-4	–––	1.67	-8.18
3/23	H	Potomac-Dumfries	20-	1	19	16	+	-1.67	2.76
3/25	H	Stafford	18-	9	9	11		-1.67	-1.58
3/27	A	Osbourn	9-	6	3	5		1.67	-1.87
3/30	H	Eastern View	11-	5	6	10	–	-1.69		-3.58
4/01	A	Albemarle	6-	9	-3	-3		1.67	0.37
4/03	A	Yorktown	11-	7	4	7	–	1.49		-3.30
4/08	A	North Stafford	8-	7	1	-3	+	1.67	3.70
4/22	H	Brooke Point	8-	12	-4	0	–	-1.67	-3.53
4/24	A	Mountain View	14-	7	7	3	+	1.67	3.85
4/29	A	Stafford	17-	0	17	7	+++	1.67	9.77
5/06	H	North Stafford	4-	11	-7	1	–––	-1.67	-7.65
5/11	H	Mountain View	11-	4	7	6		-1.67	0.50
5/13	A	Albemarle	5-	6	-1	-3	+	1.67	2.37
									0.00	-6.88

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/18	A	Brooke Point	5-	17	2.00
3/23	H	Potomac-Dumfries	20-	1	-2.76
4/29	A	Stafford	17-	0	-7.00
10-goal correction: -0.52

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	569
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.78		Natl Power Rank	569
Natl SOS Rating	87.76		Natl SOS Rank	808
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1562
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	763
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3

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