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Covenant Eagles (13-5)

Region: VA 1 VICState: VACoach: Dave Breslin

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/19at Western Albemarle (8-9)VA Jeffsn89.2W12- 3 0.325  
3/20CHRISTCHURCH (5-12)VA 2 VIC73.1W13- 1 0.000  
3/21at Roanoke Catholic (11-4)VA 3 VIC89.1W14- 7 0.300  
3/22NORTH CROSS (5-9)VA 3 VIC75.8W13- 3 0.000  
3/24at Woodberry Forest (6-8)VA 1 VIP88.15L3-15 -0.075  
3/26vs. Germantown Academy # (6-12)PA IAC90.4W14-13 0.300  
3/28vs. CM Wright # (12-4)MD 43 South90.6L10-11 -0.200  
3/31BENEDICTINE (9-6)VA 2 Privte81.2W13- 7 0.025  
4/07at St Christopher's (8-9)VA 1 VIP88.06L6-10 -0.100  
4/08at Blue Ridge School (5-8)VA 3 CavAC78.1W20-12 0.025  
4/22at Potomac School (12-6)DC MAC93.5W11-10ot0.425  
4/27VIRGINIA EPISCOPAL (14-4)VA 2 VIC88.4W15-13 0.225  
4/28HARGRAVE MILITARY ACAD (3-8)VA 3 VIC72.0W19- 3 0.000  
5/02at Notre Dame Academy (11-10)MD MILL92.5W14-11 0.400  
5/05BLUE RIDGE SCHOOL (5-8)VA 3 CavAC78.1W17- 4 0.000  
5/07at St Anne's-Belfield (18-2)VA 1 VIP98.61L7-19 0.000  
5/09VIRGINIA EPISCOPAL (14-4)VA 2 VIC88.4W13- 9 0.225  
5/12at St Anne's-Belfield (18-2)VA 1 VIP98.61L5-21 0.000  
# Neutral site 86.3     1.88  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/19AWestern Albemarle12-39   -3       +++1.65       11.68
3/20HChristchurch13-112   17       ––-1.64       -4.76
3/21ARoanoke Catholic14-77   -2       +++1.52       9.37
3/22HNorth Cross13-310   14       –-1.52       -3.92
3/24AWoodberry Forest3-15-12   -7       ––1.61       -5.39
3/26NGermantown Academy14-131   -2       +0.00       3.21
3/28NCM Wright10-11-1   -2       0.00       1.36
3/31HBenedictine13-76   9       –-1.64       -2.65
4/07ASt Christopher's6-10-4   -6       1.61       1.79
4/08ABlue Ridge School20-128   9       1.52       -0.59
4/22APotomac School11-101   -7       +++1.71       8.02
4/27HVirginia Episcopal15-132   1       -1.64       0.58
4/28HHargrave Military Acad19-316   18       -1.52       -1.76
5/02ANotre Dame Academy14-113   -6       +++1.71       9.05
5/05HBlue Ridge School17-413   12       -1.52       1.37
5/07ASt Anne's-Belfield7-19-12   -16       +1.61       3.80
5/09HVirginia Episcopal13-94   1       +-1.64       2.58
5/12ASt Anne's-Belfield5-21-16   -16       1.61       -0.20
         0.0033.54

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/20HChristchurch13-14.76
3/22HNorth Cross13-33.92
3/24AWoodberry Forest3-152.00
4/28HHargrave Military Acad19-31.76
5/05HBlue Ridge School17-4-1.37
5/07ASt Anne's-Belfield7-19-3.80
5/12ASt Anne's-Belfield5-210.20
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 88.   Natl CCR Rank 952
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 88.20   Natl Power Rank 952
Natl SOS Rating 86.33   Natl SOS Rank 1015
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.88   Natl Quality Win Rank 65
W-L Pct Rating 0.72   W-L Pct Rank 541
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -13.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -8.0



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