| Region: NY A Sec 4 | State: NY | Coach: Chris Hogue |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/24 | H | Corning East | 10- | 15 | -5 | -5 | | -1.19 | -0.06 | |
3/27 | H | Geneva | 8- | 7 | 1 | 5 | | -1.26 | | -3.79 |
3/31 | H | Vestal | 9- | 2 | 7 | 2 | ++ | -1.19 | 4.88 | |
4/02 | H | Bath-Haverling | 17- | 4 | 13 | 8 | ++ | -1.26 | | 4.77 |
4/06 | H | Honeoye Falls-Lima | 11- | 3 | 8 | 10 | | -1.26 | | -1.51 |
4/08 | H | Union-Endicott | 16- | 1 | 15 | 10 | ++ | -1.19 | 4.51 | |
4/13 | A | McQuaid Jesuit | 12- | 6 | 6 | 4 | + | 1.26 | | 2.14 |
4/15 | H | Ithaca | 7- | 10 | -3 | -4 | | -1.19 | 0.73 | |
4/21 | A | Horseheads | 14- | 13 | 1 | 2 | | 1.19 | -1.27 | |
4/23 | A | Binghamton | 9- | 5 | 4 | 0 | ++ | 1.19 | 4.49 | |
4/28 | A | Chenango Forks | 10- | 11 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.19 | 2.79 | |
5/01 | A | Vestal | 6- | 8 | -2 | 0 | | 1.19 | -1.74 | |
5/05 | A | Corning East | 3- | 16 | -13 | -7 | | 1.19 | -5.69 | |
5/08 | A | Union-Endicott | 19- | 8 | 11 | 8 | + | 1.19 | 2.88 | |
5/12 | A | Ithaca | 5- | 16 | -11 | -6 | | 1.19 | -4.90 | |
5/15 | H | Horseheads | 17- | 11 | 6 | 5 | | -1.19 | 1.36 | |
5/19 | H | Binghamton | 4- | 9 | -5 | 2 | | -1.19 | -6.88 | |
5/22 | H | Chenango Forks | 14- | 11 | 3 | -1 | ++ | -1.19 | 4.42 | |
5/29 | A | Binghamton | 6- | 12 | -6 | 0 | | 1.19 | -5.51 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 1.61 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
4/02 | H | Bath-Haverling | 17- | 4 | -3.00 |
4/08 | H | Union-Endicott | 16- | 1 | -4.51 |
5/05 | A | Corning East | 3- | 16 | 3.00 |
5/08 | A | Union-Endicott | 19- | 8 | -1.00 |
5/12 | A | Ithaca | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.24 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 316 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 94.11 | | Natl Power Rank | 316 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 91.59 | | Natl SOS Rank | 287 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.02 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1313 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.58 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1126 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 5-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.7 |
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