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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Alexander Dawson Mustangs (6-7)

Region: CO North

State: CO

Coach: Travis Aldrich

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/06	HIGHLANDS RANCH (7-8)	CO DougCo	89.4		W	10-	6		0.300
3/09	at Green Mountain (5-9)	CO Foothil	85.2		L	4-	6		-0.325
3/27	at Francis Parker (12-5)	CA Coastal	92.0		L	3-	12		-0.125
4/02	at Windsor (8-7)	CO North	87.2		W	9-	6		0.225
4/07	THOMPSON VALLEY (2-12)	CO North	79.9		W	16-	4		0.000
4/09	at Fort Collins Unified (9-7)	CO North	95.1	8	L	2-	15		0.000
4/11	FOUNTAIN VALLEY (5-8)	CO PikesPk	83.8		W	5-	1		0.125
4/13	DENVER SOUTH (4-11)	CO FRange	80.7		W	9-	6		0.075
4/14	MOUNTAIN RANGE (10-5)	CO North	89.2		W	9-	4		0.250
4/16	at Boulder (9-6)	CO North	89.9		L	5-	9		-0.175
4/21	at Fairview (11-6)	CO North	92.6		L	8-	13		-0.125
4/23	MONARCH (12-4)	CO North	94.4		L	6-	14		-0.100
4/25	at Colorado Springs Sch (10-3)	CO PikesPk	90.1		L	8-	11		-0.200
			88.4						-0.07

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	H	Highlands Ranch	10-	6	4	-2	++	-0.49	5.89
3/09	A	Green Mountain	4-	6	-2	3	––	0.49	-4.68
3/27	A	Francis Parker	3-	12	-9	-5	–	0.74		-3.80
4/02	A	Windsor	9-	6	3	1		0.49	1.99
4/07	H	Thompson Valley	16-	4	12	10	+	-0.49	2.40
4/09	A	Fort Collins Unified	2-	15	-13	-11		0.49	-1.95
4/11	H	Fountain Valley	5-	1	4	5		-0.49	-1.22
4/13	H	Denver South	9-	6	3	7	–	-0.49	-3.68
4/14	H	Mountain Range	9-	4	5	0	++	-0.49	5.41
4/16	A	Boulder	5-	9	-4	-3		0.49	-1.14
4/21	A	Fairview	8-	13	-5	-5		0.49	0.24
4/23	H	Monarch	6-	14	-8	-6		-0.49	-1.91
4/25	A	Colorado Springs Sch	8-	11	-3	-2		0.49	-1.34
									0.00	-3.80

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	Thompson Valley	16-	4	-2.40
4/09	A	Fort Collins Unified	2-	15	1.95
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1048
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.56		Natl Power Rank	1048
Natl SOS Rating	88.27		Natl SOS Rank	734
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.07		Natl Quality Win Rank	1641
W-L Pct Rating	0.46		W-L Pct Rank	1650
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3

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