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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Desert Vista Thunder (8-8)

Region: AZ 1 Div-1

State: AZ

Coach: Dan Lannon

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/14	GILBERT I (3-9)	AZ 1 Div-1	79.6	9	W	9-	6		0.225
3/17	at Chaparral (15-1)	AZ 1 Div-1	94.8	1	L	2-	16		0.000
3/21	PLANO (10-6)	TX 1 North	91.2		L	9-	11		-0.100
3/24	at Desert Mountain (8-4)	AZ 1 Div-1	85.6	4	L	8-	9	ot	-0.175
3/27	HIGHLAND-EAST VALLEY (0-11)	AZ 1 Div-1	71.8		W	9-	6		0.075
3/30	at Corona del Sol (9-5)	AZ 1 Div-1	87.0	3	L	5-	9		-0.125
3/31	ST FRANCIS XAVIER (4-1)	CN FarWest	87.9		L	6-	7		-0.175
4/08	BROPHY PREP (14-5)	AZ 1 Div-1	91.3	2	L	3-	10		-0.100
4/14	at Chandler (6-7)	AZ 1 Div-1	83.7	8	L	6-	11		-0.175
4/16	SEATTLE PREP (7-11)	WA 1 Div-1	86.2		W	14-	8		0.275
4/21	at Hamilton (1-10)	AZ 1 Div-1	73.7		W	11-	10		0.125
4/25	TUCSON TANQUE VERDE (3-8)	AZ 1 Div-1	79.3	10	W	10-	9		0.225
4/28	at Saguaro (7-5)	AZ 1 Div-1	84.8	5	W	10-	9		0.300
5/01	MOUNTAIN POINTE (6-7)	AZ 1 Div-1	83.8	7	W	9-	8		0.275
5/05	at Desert Mountain (8-4)	AZ 1 Div-1	85.6	4	W	7-	6	3ot	0.325
5/08	at Chaparral (15-1)	AZ 1 Div-1	94.8	1	L	5-	13		0.000
			85.1						0.97

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	H	Gilbert I	9-	6	3	1		-0.84	1.62
3/17	A	Chaparral	2-	16	-14	-10	––	0.84	-4.03
3/21	H	Plano	9-	11	-2	-6	+	-1.12		3.94
3/24	A	Desert Mountain	8-	9	-1	-3		0.84	1.51
3/27	H	Highland-East Valley	9-	6	3	7	––	-0.84	-4.38
3/30	A	Corona del Sol	5-	9	-4	-5		0.84	1.12
3/31	H	St Francis Xavier	6-	7	-1	-3		-1.03		1.73
4/08	H	Brophy Prep	3-	10	-7	-6		-0.84	-1.05
4/14	A	Chandler	6-	11	-5	-3		0.84	-1.65
4/16	H	Seattle Prep	14-	8	6	-1	+++	-1.42		6.63
4/21	A	Hamilton	11-	10	1	5	–	0.84	-3.73
4/25	H	Tucson Tanque Verde	10-	9	1	1		-0.84	-0.27
4/28	A	Saguaro	10-	9	1	-2	+	0.84	3.25
5/01	H	Mountain Pointe	9-	8	1	-1	+	-0.84	2.14
5/05	A	Desert Mountain	7-	6	1	-3	+	0.84	3.51
5/08	A	Chaparral	5-	13	-8	-10		0.84	1.97
									0.00	12.30

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	A	Chaparral	2-	16	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1488
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.15		Natl Power Rank	1488
Natl SOS Rating	84.89		Natl SOS Rank	1267
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.97		Natl Quality Win Rank	291
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1399
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0

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