| Conference: Div I | Region: NY A Sec 11 | State: NY | Coach: Joe Ancona |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/24 | A | John Glenn - Elwood | 8- | 10 | -2 | 2 | | 0.34 | -4.37 | |
3/27 | H | Calhoun | 18- | 9 | 9 | 5 | ++ | -0.81 | | 4.45 |
4/07 | H | Commack | 17- | 5 | 12 | 10 | + | -0.34 | 2.30 | |
4/08 | N | Brandywine | 17- | 5 | 12 | 11 | | 0.00 | | 0.91 |
4/15 | H | Middle Country | 14- | 5 | 9 | 4 | ++ | -0.34 | 4.80 | |
4/17 | A | Half Hollow Hills East | 7- | 3 | 4 | 6 | | 0.34 | -1.89 | |
4/21 | A | Lindenhurst | 13- | 12 | 1 | 2 | | 0.34 | -1.40 | |
4/23 | H | Brentwood | 19- | 2 | 17 | 14 | + | -0.34 | 2.96 | |
4/25 | H | William Floyd | 20- | 8 | 12 | -1 | +++ | -0.34 | 12.77 | |
4/29 | A | West Babylon | 11- | 7 | 4 | 2 | + | 0.34 | 2.17 | |
5/01 | A | Smithtown East | 6- | 15 | -9 | -2 | | 0.34 | -7.29 | |
5/05 | H | Sachem North | 10- | 11 | -1 | 1 | | -0.34 | -1.99 | |
5/07 | A | Bay Shore | 10- | 13 | -3 | 0 | | 0.34 | -3.04 | |
5/09 | H | North Babylon | 16- | 10 | 6 | 7 | | -0.34 | -0.66 | |
5/13 | A | West Islip | 3- | 15 | -12 | -9 | | 0.34 | -2.81 | |
5/15 | A | Longwood | 21- | 10 | 11 | 11 | | 0.34 | 0.08 | |
5/18 | H | Ward Melville | 5- | 10 | -5 | -5 | | -0.34 | -0.31 | |
5/21 | A | Sachem North | 9- | 10 | -1 | 0 | | 0.34 | -1.32 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 5.36 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
4/07 | H | Commack | 17- | 5 | -2.30 |
4/08 | N | Brandywine | 17- | 5 | -0.91 |
4/23 | H | Brentwood | 19- | 2 | -2.96 |
4/25 | H | William Floyd | 20- | 8 | 0.00 |
5/13 | A | West Islip | 3- | 15 | 2.00 |
5/15 | A | Longwood | 21- | 10 | -0.08 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.24 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 96. | | Natl CCR Rank | 217 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 95.37 | | Natl Power Rank | 217 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 91.88 | | Natl SOS Rank | 249 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.30 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2099 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.61 | | W-L Pct Rank | 987 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -8.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
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