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East Chapel Hill Wildcats (14-5)
Region: NC 4A
State: NC
Coach: Franklin Zirkle
Team Page Links: • 2009 •
2008
•
2007
•
2006
•
2005
•
Date
Opponent
Conference
PR
Rank
Score
COR
3/04
at
Cary-Middle Creek
(6-12)
NC 4A
75.5
W
13-
0
0.050
3/06
at
Green Hope
(9-5)
NC 4A
79.5
W
11-
1
0.125
3/11
at
Western Alamance
(11-6)
NC 3A/2A
79.1
W
13-
6
0.100
3/18
at
Carrboro
(9-6)
NC 3A/2A
79.5
W
11-
6
0.125
3/20
APEX
(11-6)
NC 4A
83.6
W
8-
3
0.150
3/24
DURHAM RIVERSIDE
(5-10)
NC 4A
78.7
W
11-
8
0.100
3/31
DURHAM JORDAN
(9-8)
NC 4A
82.7
W
9-
6
0.175
4/02
NORTHERN DURHAM
(1-12)
NC 4A
68.1
W
17-
0
0.000
4/03
at
Holly Springs
(14-3)
NC 4A
86.8
10
L
7-
8
ot
-0.225
4/09
at
Greensboro Grimsley
(10-7)
NC 4A
84.8
L
8-
9
-0.250
4/15
at
Chapel Hill
(18-2)
NC 4A
94.0
2
L
6-
14
-0.100
4/17
WILMINGTON HOGGARD
(14-7)
NC 4A
87.4
8
W
6-
5
ot
0.225
4/21
at
Durham Riverside
(5-10)
NC 4A
78.7
W
10-
3
0.150
4/24
CHAPEL HILL
(18-2)
NC 4A
94.0
2
L
4-
14
-0.150
4/28
at
Durham Jordan
(9-8)
NC 4A
82.7
W
8-
6
0.225
4/30
at
Northern Durham
(1-12)
NC 4A
68.1
W
19-
2
0.000
5/06
APEX
(11-6)
NC 4A
83.6
W
10-
6
0.150
5/08
MOUNT TABOR
(11-9)
NC 4A
84.1
W
9-
7
0.175
5/13
at
Chapel Hill
(18-2)
NC 4A
94.0
2
L
4-
16
-0.100
82.4
0.92
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date
Site
Opponent
Score
Goal Differential
+/–
Home Adv.
Err-L
Err-E
Actual
Predicted
3/04
A
Cary-Middle Creek
13-
0
13
8
++
0.95
5.36
3/06
A
Green Hope
11-
1
10
5
++
0.95
4.57
3/11
A
Western Alamance
13-
6
7
6
0.95
0.77
3/18
A
Carrboro
11-
6
5
5
0.95
-0.20
3/20
H
Apex
8-
3
5
4
-0.95
0.52
3/24
H
Durham Riverside
11-
8
3
6
–
-0.95
-3.37
3/31
H
Durham Jordan
9-
6
3
3
-0.95
0.20
4/02
H
Northern Durham
17-
0
17
16
-0.95
1.11
4/03
A
Holly Springs
7-
8
-1
-1
0.95
-0.41
4/09
A
Greensboro Grimsley
8-
9
-1
0
0.95
-0.99
4/15
A
Chapel Hill
6-
14
-8
-6
0.95
-1.76
4/17
H
Wilmington Hoggard
6-
5
1
1
-0.95
0.35
4/21
A
Durham Riverside
10-
3
7
4
+
0.95
2.52
4/24
H
Chapel Hill
4-
14
-10
-4
––
-0.95
-5.66
4/28
A
Durham Jordan
8-
6
2
1
0.95
1.10
4/30
A
Northern Durham
19-
2
17
14
+
0.95
3.00
5/06
H
Apex
10-
6
4
4
-0.95
-0.48
5/08
H
Mount Tabor
9-
7
2
3
-0.95
-0.87
5/13
A
Chapel Hill
4-
16
-12
-6
––
0.95
-5.76
0.00
0.00
Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date
Site
Opponent
Score
Adj.
3/04
A
Cary-Middle Creek
13-
0
-3.00
3/06
A
Green Hope
11-
1
0.00
4/02
H
Northern Durham
17-
0
-1.11
4/24
H
Chapel Hill
4-
14
0.00
4/30
A
Northern Durham
19-
2
-3.00
5/13
A
Chapel Hill
4-
16
2.00
10-goal correction: -0.27
National Rating
Natl CCR Rating
87.
Natl CCR Rank
1059
Natl Poll Vote
n/a
Natl Poll Rank
n/a
Natl Power Rating
87.51
Natl Power Rank
1059
Natl SOS Rating
82.21
Natl SOS Rank
1730
Natl Quality Win Rating
0.92
Natl Quality Win Rank
312
W-L Pct Rating
0.74
W-L Pct Rank
476
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )
14-5
Ave Goal diff (all )
3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)
0-3
Ave Goal diff (top 5)
-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)
1-4
Ave Goal diff (top 10)
-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)
6-5
Ave Goal diff (top 20)
-1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)
2-1
Ave Goal diff (last 3)
-2.0
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