| Region: MN 1 Lake | State: MN | Coach: Ryan Ward |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/15 | BLOOM KENNEDY (1-13) | MN 1 Lake | 77.9 | | W | 18- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | at Chaska (10-5) | MN 1 Lake | 89.1 | | W | 13- | 8 | | 0.100 |
4/18 | BLAKE (10-7) | MN 1 Private | 91.2 | 8 | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.125 |
4/20 | EASTVIEW (13-5) | MN 1 Lake | 91.6 | 6 | W | 10- | 8 | | 0.150 |
4/22 | APPLE VALLEY (7-8) | MN 1 Lake | 86.3 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | at Eagan (12-4) | MN 1 Lake | 91.2 | 9 | W | 10- | 8 | | 0.175 |
4/28 | at Wayzata (8-6) | MN 1 Classic | 90.7 | 10 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.275 |
4/29 | at Lakeville South (4-10) | MN 1 Lake | 84.0 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | at Lakeville North (1-12) | MN 1 Lake | 80.3 | | W | 12- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/06 | at Bloom Jefferson (13-2) | MN 1 Lake | 93.5 | 2 | W | 14- | 13 | | 0.275 |
5/13 | ROSEMOUNT (7-8) | MN 1 Lake | 86.1 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | BURNSVILLE (9-6) | MN 1 Lake | 88.4 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.050 |
5/21 | CHAMPLIN PARK (6-6) | MN 1 North | 84.6 | | W | 15- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/26 | WAYZATA (8-6) | MN 1 Classic | 90.7 | 10 | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.150 |
5/28 | at Minnetonka (18-0) | MN 1 Classic | 95.0 | 1 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.200 |
| | 88.0 | | | | | | 0.55 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/15 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 18- | 1 | 17 | 17 | | -1.20 | -0.04 | |
4/17 | A | Chaska | 13- | 8 | 5 | 6 | | 1.20 | -0.67 | |
4/18 | H | Blake | 8- | 4 | 4 | 5 | | -1.20 | -0.53 | |
4/20 | H | Eastview | 10- | 8 | 2 | 4 | | -1.20 | -1.54 | |
4/22 | H | Apple Valley | 14- | 2 | 12 | 12 | | -1.20 | 0.11 | |
4/24 | A | Eagan | 10- | 8 | 2 | 3 | | 1.20 | -1.29 | |
4/28 | A | Wayzata | 9- | 10 | -1 | 1 | – | 1.20 | -2.13 | |
4/29 | A | Lakeville South | 17- | 2 | 15 | 11 | ++ | 1.20 | 4.14 | |
5/01 | A | Lakeville North | 12- | 2 | 10 | 12 | – | 1.20 | -2.08 | |
5/06 | A | Bloom Jefferson | 14- | 13 | 1 | -1 | + | 1.20 | 2.30 | |
5/13 | H | Rosemount | 16- | 2 | 14 | 12 | | -1.20 | 1.74 | |
5/15 | H | Burnsville | 13- | 5 | 8 | 8 | | -1.20 | -0.32 | |
5/21 | H | Champlin Park | 15- | 1 | 14 | 12 | | -1.20 | 1.81 | |
5/26 | H | Wayzata | 11- | 10 | 1 | 4 | – | -1.20 | -2.53 | |
5/28 | A | Minnetonka | 9- | 10 | -1 | -2 | | 1.20 | 1.03 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/15 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 18- | 1 | 0.04 |
4/22 | H | Apple Valley | 14- | 2 | -0.11 |
4/29 | A | Lakeville South | 17- | 2 | -4.14 |
5/01 | A | Lakeville North | 12- | 2 | 2.08 |
5/13 | H | Rosemount | 16- | 2 | -1.74 |
5/21 | H | Champlin Park | 15- | 1 | -1.81 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.38 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 385 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.35 | | Natl Power Rank | 385 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 88.15 | | Natl SOS Rank | 754 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.55 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 583 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.87 | | W-L Pct Rank | 139 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 0.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 5-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.7 |
| 
