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2009

Estrella Wolves (0-10)

Region: AZ 2 Div-2

State: AZ

Coach: Shawn Alexander

Team Page Links: • 2009 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/14	at Gilbert II (2-8)	AZ 2 Div-2	69.8	8	L	6-	14		-0.075
3/23	PINNACLE (3-7)	AZ 2 Div-2	73.4	7	L	1-	13		0.000
3/28	ORO VALLEY (2-8)	AZ 2 Div-2	68.4	9	L	6-	12		-0.100
3/31	PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (7-5)	AZ 2 Div-2	77.2	5	L	3-	12		0.000
4/02	HORIZON (10-3)	AZ 2 Div-2	84.4	2	L	0-	23		0.000
4/08	at Pinnacle (3-7)	AZ 2 Div-2	73.4	7	L	6-	16		0.000
4/11	at Catalina Foothills (4-7)	AZ 2 Div-2	75.5	6	L	2-	15		0.000
4/18	SALPOINTE CATHOLIC (12-0)	AZ 2 Div-2	87.1	1	L	0-	22		0.000
4/22	at Notre Dame Prep (8-4)	AZ 2 Div-2	81.0	3	L	3-	15		0.000
4/30	MESA (7-5)	AZ 2 Div-2	78.7	4	L	1-	13		0.000
			76.9						-0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	A	Gilbert II	6-	14	-8	-7		0.01	-0.80
3/23	H	Pinnacle	1-	13	-12	-11		-0.01	-1.01
3/28	H	Oro Valley	6-	12	-6	-6		-0.01	-0.46
3/31	H	Phoenix Country Day	3-	12	-9	-12	+	-0.01	2.99
4/02	H	Horizon	0-	23	-23	-20	–	-0.01	-3.40
4/08	A	Pinnacle	6-	16	-10	-11		0.01	1.01
4/11	A	Catalina Foothills	2-	15	-13	-13		0.01	-0.10
4/18	H	Salpointe Catholic	0-	22	-22	-18	–	-0.01	-3.66
4/22	A	Notre Dame Prep	3-	15	-12	-15	+	0.01	3.33
4/30	H	Mesa	1-	13	-12	-14	+	-0.01	2.09
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	Pinnacle	1-	13	1.01
4/02	H	Horizon	0-	23	3.40
4/08	A	Pinnacle	6-	16	-1.01
4/11	A	Catalina Foothills	2-	15	0.10
4/18	H	Salpointe Catholic	0-	22	3.66
4/22	A	Notre Dame Prep	3-	15	-3.33
4/30	H	Mesa	1-	13	-2.09
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	62.		Natl CCR Rank	2963
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	61.76		Natl Power Rank	2963
Natl SOS Rating	76.99		Natl SOS Rank	2427
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	1859
W-L Pct Rating	0.00		W-L Pct Rank	2855
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	0-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-12.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-15.3

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