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Fairport Red Raiders (16-3)

Region: NY A Sec 5State: NYCoach: Mike Torelli

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Inside the Ratings & Rankings, Northeast, 3/30 to 4/03

This week's Inside the Ratings and Rankings for the Northeast region features looks at how the teams from St. Joseph's Prep (PA), Lampeter-Strasburg (PA), West Genesee (NY), and Fairport (NY) are faring.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/28HONEOYE FALLS-LIMA (5-12)NY B Sec 585.8W19- 5 0.000  
4/02VICTOR (4-13)NY B Sec 585.1W15- 3 0.000  
4/04NIAGARA WHEATFIELD (12-7)NY A Sec 687.1W18- 4 0.000  
4/09CHURCHVILLE-CHILI (9-9)NY A Sec 590.8W17- 5 0.000  
4/16at Rush-Henrietta (7-10)NY A Sec 588.2W21- 5 0.000  
4/18at Penn Yan (20-3)NY C Sec 596.74L5- 6 -0.300  
4/22at Webster Thomas (18-2)NY A Sec 598.92W12- 7 0.300  
4/25JAMESVILLE-DEWITT (19-4)NY B Sec 396.9W12- 8 0.175  
4/28PITTSFORD (11-7)NY A Sec 592.67W10- 4 0.075  
4/30IRONDEQUOIT (14-5)NY B Sec 595.25W10- 6 0.100  
5/07at Webster Schroeder (11-8)NY A Sec 592.48W13- 6 0.125  
5/09at Eastridge (3-14)NY B Sec 583.2W23- 6 0.000  
5/14at Gates-Chili (4-14)NY A Sec 585.6W12- 7 0.000  
5/19at Hilton (10-8)NY A Sec 591.210W13- 3 0.050  
5/21PENFIELD (10-8)NY A Sec 591.79W15- 5 0.050  
5/23at Canandaigua (22-2)NY B Sec 599.71L7-10 -0.250  
5/29HILTON (10-8)NY A Sec 591.210W16- 6 0.000  
6/02vs. Webster Schroeder # (11-8)NY A Sec 592.48W9- 8 0.075  
6/05vs. Webster Thomas # (18-2)NY A Sec 598.92L11-12ot-0.225  
# Neutral site 91.8     0.17  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/28HHoneoye Falls-Lima19-514   14       -1.33       -0.44
4/02HVictor15-312   15       –-1.33       -2.81
4/04HNiagara Wheatfield18-414   13       -1.34       1.47
4/09HChurchville-Chili17-512   10       +-1.33       2.08
4/16ARush-Henrietta21-516   10       ++1.33       5.54
4/18APenn Yan5-6-1   2       –1.33       -2.64
4/22AWebster Thomas12-75   -2       +++1.33       7.23
4/25HJamesville-DeWitt12-84   3       -1.26       1.39
4/28HPittsford10-46   7       -1.33       -1.43
4/30HIrondequoit10-64   6       -1.33       -1.91
5/07AWebster Schroeder13-67   5       1.33       1.81
5/09AEastridge23-617   14       +1.33       3.48
5/14AGates-Chili12-75   11       –––1.33       -6.24
5/19AHilton13-310   8       +1.33       2.29
5/21HPenfield15-510   8       +-1.33       2.40
5/23ACanandaigua7-10-3   0       –1.33       -3.40
5/29HHilton16-610   10       -1.33       -0.36
6/02NWebster Schroeder9-81   7       ––0.00       -5.52
6/05NWebster Thomas11-12-1   -1       0.00       -0.10
         0.002.86

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/28HHoneoye Falls-Lima19-50.44
4/02HVictor15-32.81
4/04HNiagara Wheatfield18-4-1.47
4/09HChurchville-Chili17-5-2.08
4/16ARush-Henrietta21-5-5.54
5/09AEastridge23-6-3.48
5/19AHilton13-30.00
5/21HPenfield15-50.00
5/29HHilton16-60.36
10-goal correction: -0.47

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 197.   Natl CCR Rank 37
Natl Poll Vote 98.   Natl Poll Rank 50
Natl Power Rating 98.24   Natl Power Rank 37
Natl SOS Rating 91.81   Natl SOS Rank 259
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.17   Natl Quality Win Rank 1126
W-L Pct Rating 0.84   W-L Pct Rank 193
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 0.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 8-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 4.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 11-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 6.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.3



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