| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Ryan Brown |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/11 | at Washington-Lee (10-5) | VA Nationl | 85.3 | | L | 4- | 8 | | -0.275 |
3/17 | J.E.B. STUART (1-11) | VA Nationl | 70.3 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | at Oakton (5-8) | VA Concord | 90.9 | 7 | L | 2- | 8 | | -0.050 |
3/24 | MARSHALL (3-9) | VA Liberty | 80.8 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.100 |
3/27 | WESTFIELD (7-8) | VA Concord | 90.1 | | L | 4- | 6 | | -0.125 |
3/30 | WEST POTOMAC (0-12) | VA Patriot | 71.0 | | W | 13- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/13 | at Chantilly (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 2- | 7 | | 0.000 |
4/15 | HERITAGE-LEESBURG (7-6) | VA Dulles | 89.1 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.200 |
4/16 | HERNDON (8-6) | VA Concord | 90.2 | 9 | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.175 |
4/20 | ROBINSON (12-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 4 | L | 2- | 16 | | -0.050 |
4/23 | at Centreville (5-8) | VA Concord | 87.1 | | W | 8- | 7 | 2ot | 0.325 |
5/01 | at Westfield (7-8) | VA Concord | 90.1 | | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.075 |
| | 86.1 | | | | | | -0.53 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/11 | A | Washington-Lee | 4- | 8 | -4 | 1 | –– | 1.30 | -4.96 | |
3/17 | H | J.E.B. Stuart | 15- | 3 | 12 | 14 | | -1.30 | -1.94 | |
3/20 | A | Oakton | 2- | 8 | -6 | -8 | | 1.30 | 1.66 | |
3/24 | H | Marshall | 8- | 4 | 4 | 6 | | -1.30 | -1.75 | |
3/27 | H | Westfield | 4- | 6 | -2 | -5 | + | -1.30 | 2.57 | |
3/30 | H | West Potomac | 13- | 2 | 11 | 13 | | -1.30 | -1.90 | |
4/13 | A | Chantilly | 2- | 7 | -5 | -10 | ++ | 1.30 | 4.61 | |
4/15 | H | Heritage-Leesburg | 7- | 8 | -1 | -2 | | -1.50 | | 0.95 |
4/16 | H | Herndon | 9- | 11 | -2 | -3 | | -1.30 | 0.68 | |
4/20 | H | Robinson | 2- | 16 | -14 | -8 | –– | -1.30 | -5.69 | |
4/23 | A | Centreville | 8- | 7 | 1 | -3 | + | 1.30 | 3.54 | |
5/01 | A | Westfield | 5- | 9 | -4 | -7 | + | 1.30 | 3.17 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.95 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/17 | H | J.E.B. Stuart | 15- | 3 | 1.94 |
3/30 | H | West Potomac | 13- | 2 | 1.90 |
4/20 | H | Robinson | 2- | 16 | 4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.65 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 86. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1261 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 85.63 | | Natl Power Rank | 1261 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 86.02 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1064 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.53 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2512 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.33 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2118 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -5.7 |
|
