High School Computer Ratings

Fallston Cougars (15-3)

Region: MD 32 North

State: MD

Coach: Ryan Arist

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/20	CENTURY (12-4)	MD 21 West	92.4		W	11-	6		0.100
3/21	at Mount St Joseph (9-8)	MD A MIAA	95.3		L	5-	12		-0.225
3/23	at Hereford (19-1)	MD 32 North	98.7	1	L	14-	15	2ot	-0.200
3/25	PERRY HALL (4-11)	MD 43 South	81.1		W	19-	1		0.000
3/30	RIVER HILL (9-8)	MD 32 South	87.5		W	12-	4		0.025
4/01	at Harford Tech (8-5)	MD 21 South	81.2		W	15-	3		0.000
4/07	CM WRIGHT (12-4)	MD 43 South	90.6		W	12-	5		0.050
4/11	DULANEY (9-9)	MD 43 South	91.2		W	10-	7		0.175
4/11	FRANKLIN (7-9)	MD 32 North	87.7		W	14-	4		0.000
4/17	at Patterson Mill (11-7)	MD 21 South	82.9		W	17-	2		0.000
4/24	vs. Bel Air # (9-7)	MD 32 North	88.1		W	16-	8		0.050
4/29	JOPPATOWNE (9-6)	MD 21 South	82.6		W	16-	2		0.000
5/02	NORTH HARFORD (6-8)	MD 32 North	87.0		W	16-	6		0.000
5/04	MOUNT HEBRON (4-13)	MD 32 South	79.7		W	15-	2		0.000
5/05	vs. Bohemia Manor # (12-2)	MD 21 South	81.7		W	18-	2		0.000
5/07	NORTH HARFORD (6-8)	MD 32 North	87.0		W	17-	2		0.000
5/09	at Poly-Baltimore (10-4)	MD 32 North	75.8		W	19-	4		0.000
5/11	at Hereford (19-1)	MD 32 North	98.7	1	L	10-	11		-0.200
# Neutral site			87.2						-0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Century	11-	6	5	6		-1.02	-0.85
3/21	A	Mount St Joseph	5-	12	-7	-1	––	1.22		-5.86
3/23	A	Hereford	14-	15	-1	-2		1.02	1.25
3/25	H	Perry Hall	19-	1	18	15	+	-1.02	3.11
3/30	H	River Hill	12-	4	8	9		-1.02	-1.08
4/01	A	Harford Tech	15-	3	12	13		1.02	-0.85
4/07	H	CM Wright	12-	5	7	8		-1.02	-1.49
4/11	H	Dulaney	10-	7	3	3		-1.02	-0.38
4/11	H	Franklin	14-	4	10	10		-1.02	0.19
4/17	A	Patterson Mill	17-	2	15	13		1.02	1.69
4/24	N	Bel Air	16-	8	8	8		0.00	0.37
4/29	H	Joppatowne	16-	2	14	15		-1.02	-1.25
5/02	H	North Harford	16-	6	10	10		-1.02	0.42
5/04	H	Mount Hebron	15-	2	13	16	–	-1.02	-2.55
5/05	N	Bohemia Manor	18-	2	16	17		0.00	-0.78
5/07	H	North Harford	17-	2	15	10	++	-1.02	5.42
5/09	A	Poly-Baltimore	19-	4	15	19	––	1.02	-4.46
5/11	A	Hereford	10-	11	-1	-2		1.02	1.25
									0.00	-5.86