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Fayetteville-Manlius Hornets (16-5)

Conference: OSHLA1Region: NY A Sec 3State: NYCoach: Chris Kenneally

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/28at Union-Endicott (0-19)NY B Sec 479.6W24- 1 0.000  
4/04ROME FREE ACADEMY (6-12)NY A Sec 385.7W19- 4 0.000  
4/11vs. West Genesee # (20-2)NY A Sec 398.52L2-10 -0.225  
4/14at Cicero-North Syracuse (11-7)NY A Sec 394.1W13- 2 0.125  
4/16BALDWINSVILLE (10-9)NY A Sec 392.6W14- 7 0.050  
4/18at Utica Proctor (1-17)NY A Sec 370.2W26- 1 0.000  
4/21OSWEGO (7-11)NY A Sec 389.1W17- 7 0.000  
4/23AUBURN (12-6)NY A Sec 394.8W7- 6 0.075  
4/25EAST SYRACUSE-MINOA (11-8)NY B Sec 393.0W16- 6 0.025  
4/29LIVERPOOL (13-7)NY A Sec 395.510W15- 9 0.125  
5/01CENTRAL SQUARE (6-12)NY A Sec 388.1W21- 6 0.000  
5/05at Liverpool (13-7)NY A Sec 395.510W17- 4 0.200  
5/07HENNINGER (3-14)NY A Sec 383.6W20- 5 0.000  
5/09at Baldwinsville (10-9)NY A Sec 392.6W16- 8 0.125  
5/12CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (11-7)NY A Sec 394.1L7- 8ot-0.450  
5/14at West Genesee (20-2)NY A Sec 398.52L8- 9 -0.200  
5/19CORCORAN (16-4)NY A Sec 396.37L9-10 -0.350  
5/22at Nottingham (2-13)NY B Sec 376.0W22- 0 0.000  
5/30CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (11-7)NY A Sec 394.1W15- 2 0.050  
6/03vs. Corcoran # (16-4)NY A Sec 396.37W15- 6 0.175  
6/05vs. West Genesee # (20-2)NY A Sec 398.52L9-11 -0.225  
# Neutral site 90.8     -0.50  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/28AUnion-Endicott24-123   16       +++1.19       6.62
4/04HRome Free Academy19-415   17       -1.20       -1.55
4/11NWest Genesee2-10-8   -1       –––0.00       -7.34
4/14ACicero-North Syracuse13-211   5       ++1.20       5.67
4/16HBaldwinsville14-77   8       -1.20       -0.73
4/18AUtica Proctor26-125   25       1.20       -0.47
4/21HOswego17-710   12       -1.20       -1.93
4/23HAuburn7-61   7       ––-1.20       -5.95
4/25HEast Syracuse-Minoa16-610   9       -1.20       0.62
4/29HLiverpool15-96   5       -1.20       1.18
5/01HCentral Square21-615   14       -1.20       1.19
5/05ALiverpool17-413   2       +++1.20       10.59
5/07HHenninger20-515   16       -1.20       -1.48
5/09ABaldwinsville16-88   5       +1.20       2.68
5/12HCicero-North Syracuse7-8-1   8       –––-1.20       -8.74
5/14AWest Genesee8-9-1   -2       1.20       0.86
5/19HCorcoran9-10-1   4       ––-1.20       -5.17
5/22ANottingham22-022   21       1.20       0.61
5/30HCicero-North Syracuse15-213   8       ++-1.20       5.26
6/03NCorcoran15-69   3       +++0.00       6.03
6/05NWest Genesee9-11-2   -1       0.00       -1.34
         0.006.62

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/28AUnion-Endicott24-1-6.62
4/04HRome Free Academy19-41.55
4/14ACicero-North Syracuse13-2-1.00
4/18AUtica Proctor26-10.47
4/21HOswego17-71.93
4/25HEast Syracuse-Minoa16-60.00
5/01HCentral Square21-6-1.19
5/05ALiverpool17-4-3.00
5/07HHenninger20-51.48
5/22ANottingham22-0-0.62
5/30HCicero-North Syracuse15-2-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.48

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 97.   Natl CCR Rank 101
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 97.19   Natl Power Rank 99
Natl SOS Rating 90.69   Natl SOS Rank 378
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.50   Natl Quality Win Rank 2448
W-L Pct Rating 0.76   W-L Pct Rank 404
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 9.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 2.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 9-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 6.7



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