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Fallbrook Warriors (9-9)

Conference: D1Region: CA NorthState: CACoach: Al Schoffstall

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/13at Scripps Ranch (9-7)CA City90.5W11-10 0.350  
3/16SERRA (0-17)CA City80.3W21- 7 0.025  
3/21at Bonita Vista (8-10)CA Metro84.9W12- 3 0.150  
4/03at Serra (0-17)CA City80.3W10- 9 0.075  
4/06LA JOLLA COU DAY (8-10)CA Coastal88.4W13- 8 0.175  
4/16vs. Granite Hills # (12-9)CA Grosmnt90.0L5- 6 -0.200  
4/17at Santana (8-13)CA Grosmnt87.1W11- 3 0.225  
4/18vs. Granite Hills # (12-9)CA Grosmnt90.0L4- 5ot-0.200  
4/22at Rancho Bernardo (16-4)CA North95.73L5-18 0.000  
4/24WESTVIEW (7-11)CA North90.0L4- 8 -0.225  
4/25at El Capitan (4-16)CA Grosmnt81.9W3- 2 0.075  
4/27POWAY (11-6)CA North93.75L4-15 -0.050  
4/29at San Marcos (8-10)CA North90.8L2-14 -0.125  
5/01MOUNT CARMEL (5-13)CA North86.7W12- 7 0.175  
5/04at Torrey Pines (10-9)CA North93.08L1-16 0.000  
5/06MONTGOMERY (5-12)CA Metro79.6W17- 4 0.000  
5/11at La Costa Canyon (17-4)CA North97.12L2-17 0.000  
5/13CARLSBAD (7-8)CA North91.6L6- 9 -0.150  
# Neutral site 88.4     0.30  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/13AScripps Ranch11-101   -4       ++0.99       5.48
3/16HSerra21-714   9       ++-0.99       5.35
3/21ABonita Vista12-39   4       ++0.99       5.19
4/03ASerra10-91   7       ––0.99       -5.67
4/06HLa Jolla Cou Day13-85   3       +-0.99       2.01
4/16NGranite Hills5-6-1   -2       0.00       1.25
4/17ASantana11-38   1       +++0.99       6.98
4/18NGranite Hills4-5-1   -2       0.00       1.25
4/22ARancho Bernardo5-18-13   -13       0.99       -0.42
4/24HWestview4-8-4   -1       –-0.99       -3.19
4/25AEl Capitan3-21   7       ––0.99       -5.76
4/27HPoway4-15-11   -8       –-0.99       -3.44
4/29ASan Marcos2-14-12   -5       –––0.99       -7.17
5/01HMount Carmel12-75   3       -0.99       1.63
5/04ATorrey Pines1-16-15   -11       ––0.99       -4.02
5/06HMontgomery17-413   13       -0.99       -0.42
5/11ALa Costa Canyon2-17-15   -15       0.99       -0.12
5/13HCarlsbad6-9-3   -4       -0.99       1.09
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/16HSerra21-7-4.00
4/22ARancho Bernardo5-180.42
4/27HPoway4-151.00
4/29ASan Marcos2-142.00
5/04ATorrey Pines1-164.02
5/06HMontgomery17-40.42
5/11ALa Costa Canyon2-170.12
10-goal correction: 0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 90.   Natl CCR Rank 787
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 89.68   Natl Power Rank 787
Natl SOS Rating 88.34   Natl SOS Rank 722
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.30   Natl Quality Win Rank 945
W-L Pct Rating 0.50   W-L Pct Rank 1408
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 9-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -13.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -7.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.7



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