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2009
2008

Fluvanna LC Arsenal (7-5)

Region: VA Indep

State: VA

Coach: Eric Allen

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/21	SHENANDOAH COUNTY LC (2-9)	VA Indep	70.1		W	8-	3		0.100
3/24	STUART HALL (2-6)	VA Indep	66.1		W	9-	5		0.050
3/26	NEW HAMPTON (4-12)	NE North	85.4		L	6-	9		-0.025
3/31	at Hanover LC (2-11)	VA RALL	70.9		L	4-	6		-0.250
4/02	at West End LC (7-8)	VA RALL	76.2		L	9-	10		-0.150
4/07	at Fork Union Mil Academy (2-8)	VA 2 Tidewtr	71.5		L	4-	5		-0.275
4/18	CLOVER HILL LC (0-2)	VA Indep	67.5		W	11-	3		0.125
4/21	at Stuart Hall (2-6)	VA Indep	66.1		W	6-	2		0.125
4/23	at Godwin LC (11-5)	VA RALL	81.4		L	2-	7		-0.050
4/25	FOREST LC (1-9)	VA Indep	65.1		W	10-	3		0.050
4/30	at Rustburg LC (0-2)	VA Indep	59.0		W	13-	2		0.000
5/09	at Shenandoah County LC (2-9)	VA Indep	70.1		W	8-	6		0.175
			70.8						-0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	Shenandoah County LC	8-	3	5	6		-1.57	-1.06
3/24	H	Stuart Hall	9-	5	4	8	–	-1.57	-3.97
3/26	H	New Hampton	6-	9	-3	-9	+++	-1.46		6.50
3/31	A	Hanover LC	4-	6	-2	0		1.57	-1.88
4/02	A	West End LC	9-	10	-1	-4	+	1.57	2.83
4/07	A	Fork Union Mil Academy	4-	5	-1	1	–	1.62		-2.26
4/18	H	Clover Hill LC	11-	3	8	5	+	-1.57	2.56
4/21	A	Stuart Hall	6-	2	4	5		1.57	-0.83
4/23	A	Godwin LC	2-	7	-5	-8	+	1.57	2.63
4/25	H	Forest LC	10-	3	7	8		-1.57	-0.64
4/30	A	Rustburg LC	13-	2	11	10		1.57	1.30
5/09	A	Shenandoah County LC	8-	6	2	3		1.57	-0.92
									0.00	4.24

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/30	A	Rustburg LC	13-	2	-1.30
10-goal correction: -0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	2405
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.44		Natl Power Rank	2405
Natl SOS Rating	70.79		Natl SOS Rank	2883
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.13		Natl Quality Win Rank	1769
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	1099
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.7

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