| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 1 | State: MA | Coach: Ed Moy |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/31 | at Newton North (9-11) | MA 1 | 93.8 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.175 |
4/02 | WELLESLEY (11-11) | MA 2 | 94.9 | | L | 4- | 13 | | -0.150 |
4/08 | at Natick (10-10) | MA 2 | 92.9 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.200 |
4/09 | at Weymouth (7-13) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.175 |
4/14 | at Needham (16-6) | MA 1 | 97.2 | | L | 7- | 16 | | 0.000 |
4/15 | DEDHAM (0-17) | MA 3 | 77.1 | | W | 19- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/16 | at Braintree (14-8) | MA 1 | 95.3 | | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.125 |
4/25 | at Algonquin (19-3) | MA 2 | 96.1 | | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.075 |
4/27 | BROOKLINE (7-13) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.275 |
4/29 | NEWTON NORTH (9-11) | MA 1 | 93.8 | | L | 3- | 10 | | -0.225 |
5/01 | MILTON (1-16) | MA 2 | 84.7 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.100 |
5/04 | WEYMOUTH (7-13) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | W | 9- | 7 | | 0.275 |
5/06 | at Norwood (17-5) | MA 2 | 96.8 | | L | 7- | 13 | | -0.075 |
5/08 | NEEDHAM (16-6) | MA 1 | 97.2 | | L | 6- | 11 | | 0.000 |
5/11 | at Walpole (24-1) | MA 2 | 98.8 | 1 | L | 4- | 18 | | 0.000 |
5/13 | BRAINTREE (14-8) | MA 1 | 95.3 | | L | 9- | 13 | | -0.175 |
5/15 | at Brookline (7-13) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | L | 2- | 10 | | -0.175 |
5/19 | NEWTON SOUTH (6-12) | MA 1 | 94.2 | | L | 3- | 7 | | -0.175 |
| | 93.3 | | | | | | -1.08 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/31 | A | Newton North | 6- | 9 | -3 | -3 | | 0.91 | 0.20 | |
4/02 | H | Wellesley | 4- | 13 | -9 | -4 | –– | -0.91 | -5.45 | |
4/08 | A | Natick | 6- | 7 | -1 | -2 | | 0.91 | 0.68 | |
4/09 | A | Weymouth | 4- | 12 | -8 | -3 | –– | 0.91 | -5.08 | |
4/14 | A | Needham | 7- | 16 | -9 | -12 | + | 0.91 | 2.64 | |
4/15 | H | Dedham | 19- | 0 | 19 | 13 | +++ | -0.91 | 6.41 | |
4/16 | A | Braintree | 5- | 10 | -5 | -5 | | 0.91 | -0.04 | |
4/25 | A | Algonquin | 5- | 12 | -7 | -7 | | 1.19 | | 0.32 |
4/27 | H | Brookline | 7- | 6 | 1 | -1 | + | -0.91 | 2.13 | |
4/29 | H | Newton North | 3- | 10 | -7 | -1 | –– | -0.91 | -5.62 | |
5/01 | H | Milton | 13- | 6 | 7 | 6 | | -0.91 | 1.18 | |
5/04 | H | Weymouth | 9- | 7 | 2 | -1 | + | -0.91 | 3.09 | |
5/06 | A | Norwood | 7- | 13 | -6 | -7 | | 0.91 | 1.37 | |
5/08 | H | Needham | 6- | 11 | -5 | -10 | ++ | -0.91 | 4.81 | |
5/11 | A | Walpole | 4- | 18 | -14 | -15 | | 0.91 | 0.65 | |
5/13 | H | Braintree | 9- | 13 | -4 | -3 | | -0.91 | -0.86 | |
5/15 | A | Brookline | 2- | 10 | -8 | -3 | –– | 0.91 | -5.04 | |
5/19 | H | Newton South | 3- | 7 | -4 | -3 | | -0.91 | -1.06 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/15 | H | Dedham | 19- | 0 | -6.41 |
5/11 | A | Walpole | 4- | 18 | -0.65 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.39 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 90. | | Natl CCR Rank | 761 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 89.95 | | Natl Power Rank | 761 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 93.20 | | Natl SOS Rank | 121 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -1.08 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 3001 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.22 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2438 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-14 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -3.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -5.3 |
|
