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Frontier Falcons (14-7)

Region: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Chris Stack

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/26at Pittsford (11-7)NY A Sec 592.6L5- 6 -0.150  
4/03at Amherst (14-6)NY B Sec 688.66L4-10 -0.225  
4/08ORCHARD PARK (21-2)NY A Sec 699.41L3-13 -0.050  
4/15at Pine Richland (8-7)PA Div1-S289.8W6- 4 0.275  
4/16at Bethel Park (12-6)PA Div1-S193.8L5-10 -0.125  
4/17at Hampton (16-5)PA Div2-S293.2W8- 7 0.375  
4/21NORTH TONAWANDA (1-11)NY A Sec 669.3W20- 4 0.000  
4/24at Jamestown (0-13)NY A Sec 667.4W17- 1 0.000  
4/25TIMON ST JUDE (14-4)NY P Sec 690.73W8- 3 0.225  
4/28at Lockport (4-14)NY A Sec 673.0W14- 1 0.000  
4/30at Clarence (13-6)NY A Sec 687.59W8- 7ot0.250  
5/03MOUNT LEBANON (14-8)PA Div1-S194.3L6- 7ot-0.175  
5/05LANCASTER (4-9)NY A Sec 677.1W12- 4 0.025  
5/08WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (5-10)NY A Sec 679.3W16- 6 0.100  
5/11at West Seneca East (8-9)NY B Sec 681.0W10- 6 0.150  
5/16HAMBURG (18-3)NY B Sec 693.12L5-10 -0.250  
5/19at Niagara Wheatfield (12-7)NY A Sec 687.68W10- 9 0.275  
5/26at Sweet Home (14-4)NY B Sec 688.47W11-10 0.275  
5/30LOCKPORT (4-14)NY A Sec 673.0W17- 0 0.000  
6/02NIAGARA WHEATFIELD (12-7)NY A Sec 687.68W9- 8 0.225  
6/05vs. Orchard Park # (21-2)NY A Sec 699.41L3-17 0.000  
# Neutral site 86.0     1.20  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/26APittsford5-6-1   -4       +1.34       3.08
4/03AAmherst4-10-6   -1       ––1.35       -5.06
4/08HOrchard Park3-13-10   -8       -1.35       -1.68
4/15APine Richland6-42   -1       +1.26       3.24
4/16ABethel Park5-10-5   -5       1.26       0.26
4/17AHampton8-71   -5       ++1.26       5.67
4/21HNorth Tonawanda20-416   18       -1.35       -1.68
4/24AJamestown17-116   17       1.35       -0.69
4/25HTimon St Jude8-35   1       ++-1.35       4.38
4/28ALockport14-113   11       1.35       1.87
4/30AClarence8-71   0       1.35       1.03
5/03HMount Lebanon6-7-1   -3       +-1.26       2.28
5/05HLancaster12-48   9       -1.35       -0.55
5/08HWilliamsville North16-610   6       ++-1.35       4.44
5/11AWest Seneca East10-64   4       1.35       0.03
5/16HHamburg5-10-5   0       ––-1.35       -4.55
5/19ANiagara Wheatfield10-91   -1       +1.35       2.34
5/26ASweet Home11-101   -1       1.35       1.63
5/30HLockport17-017   14       +-1.35       3.17
6/02HNiagara Wheatfield9-81   1       -1.35       -0.35
6/05NOrchard Park3-17-14   -10       ––0.00       -4.33
         0.0014.53

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/08HOrchard Park3-130.00
4/21HNorth Tonawanda20-41.68
4/24AJamestown17-10.69
4/28ALockport14-1-1.87
5/08HWilliamsville North16-60.00
5/30HLockport17-0-3.17
6/05NOrchard Park3-174.00
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 89.   Natl CCR Rank 862
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 89.81   Natl Power Rank 862
Natl SOS Rating 85.58   Natl SOS Rank 1131
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.20   Natl Quality Win Rank 156
W-L Pct Rating 0.67   W-L Pct Rank 737
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.3



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