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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Fish Hawk LC Fins (9-7)

Region: FL WFLL-A

State: FL

Coach: Tim Haraden

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/06	WHARTON (9-10)	FL WFLL-B	67.3		W	16-	6		0.100
2/14	at H.B. Plant (15-2)	FL WFLL-A	83.1	5	L	7-	8		-0.075
2/17	BLOOMINGDALE (2-11)	FL WFLL-B	54.9		W	16-	3		0.000
2/20	CLEARWATER (10-9)	FL WFLL-A	76.3		W	11-	6		0.225
2/21	CITRUS PARK (10-4)	FL WFLL-A	77.1		L	6-	7		-0.250
2/27	at Tampa Jesuit (10-8)	FL WFLL-A	75.7		L	5-	6		-0.200
3/07	at Tampa Catholic (3-9)	FL WFLL-A	62.6		W	13-	1		0.000
3/13	SOUTHLAKE CARROLL (11-11)	TX 1 North	83.9		L	10-	12		-0.050
3/18	at Sarasota Mil Academy (11-6)	FL WFLL-B	72.4		W	13-	12		0.250
3/20	at Wesley Chapel (11-5)	FL WFLL-A	81.6	8	L	3-	16		-0.025
3/28	at Hernando LC (1-10)	FL WFLL-A	55.9		W	18-	4		0.000
4/01	at H.B. Plant II (4-12)	FL WFLL-B	59.0		W	10-	2		0.000
4/03	FREEDOM-TAMPA (8-9)	FL WFLL-A	73.2		W	12-	4		0.250
4/04	at St Petersburg (3-13)	FL WFLL-A	59.9		W	15-	6		0.000
4/18	at Lakewood Ranch (8-6)	FL WFLL-A	75.8		L	3-	14		-0.175
4/21	at Tampa Jesuit (10-8)	FL WFLL-A	75.7		L	3-	14		-0.200
			70.9						-0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/06	H	Wharton	16-	6	10	6	+	-0.87	3.85
2/14	A	H.B. Plant	7-	8	-1	-7	+++	0.87	6.42
2/17	H	Bloomingdale	16-	3	13	15	–	-0.87	-2.27
2/20	H	Clearwater	11-	6	5	1	+	-0.87	3.92
2/21	H	Citrus Park	6-	7	-1	0		-0.87	-0.87
2/27	A	Tampa Jesuit	5-	6	-1	-2		0.87	1.36
3/07	A	Tampa Catholic	13-	1	12	10	+	0.87	2.30
3/13	H	Southlake Carroll	10-	12	-2	-8	+++	-1.13		6.06
3/18	A	Sarasota Mil Academy	13-	12	1	0		0.87	0.59
3/20	A	Wesley Chapel	3-	16	-13	-9	––	0.87	-4.32
3/28	A	Hernando LC	18-	4	14	12	+	0.87	2.23
4/01	A	H.B. Plant II	10-	2	8	10		0.87	-1.56
4/03	H	Freedom-Tampa	12-	4	8	0	+++	-0.87	7.65
4/04	A	St Petersburg	15-	6	9	11	–	0.87	-2.41
4/18	A	Lakewood Ranch	3-	14	-11	-3	–––	0.87	-8.25
4/21	A	Tampa Jesuit	3-	14	-11	-2	–––	0.87	-8.64
									0.00	6.06

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/06	H	Wharton	16-	6	0.00
2/17	H	Bloomingdale	16-	3	2.27
3/07	A	Tampa Catholic	13-	1	-2.30
3/20	A	Wesley Chapel	3-	16	3.00
3/28	A	Hernando LC	18-	4	-2.23
4/18	A	Lakewood Ranch	3-	14	1.00
4/21	A	Tampa Jesuit	3-	14	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	2345
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.72		Natl Power Rank	2345
Natl SOS Rating	70.99		Natl SOS Rank	2875
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1802
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1176
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3

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