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Grafton Warriors (16-5)

Conference: CentMassRegion: MA 2State: MACoach: Alan Rotatori

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01at Bellingham (3-17)MA 382.2W11- 2 0.050  
4/02at Shrewsbury (12-8)MA 290.75W7- 4 0.300  
4/09at Blackstone Valley V-T (11-8)MA 285.5W15- 4 0.125  
4/14NIPMUC REGIONAL (10-8)MA 287.0W8- 1 0.075  
4/16at Worcester Combined (0-12)MA 273.4W18- 4 0.000  
4/17BROMFIELD SCHOOL (15-5)MA 290.27L6-12 -0.325  
4/24at Shepherd Hill (2-14)MA 278.4W13- 2 0.000  
4/27at Wachusett (6-13)MA 288.1W10- 5 0.200  
4/28TANTASQUA REGIONAL (5-15)MA 281.8W13- 2 0.000  
4/30NORTHBRIDGE (16-5)MA 290.66W10- 2 0.200  
5/01at Nipmuc Regional (10-8)MA 287.0W10- 4 0.150  
5/04at St Peter Marian (13-5)MA 292.33L8-12 -0.150  
5/06WORCESTER COMBINED (0-12)MA 273.4W21- 0 0.000  
5/12at Northbridge (16-5)MA 290.66L8- 9 -0.225  
5/14at Tantasqua Regional (5-15)MA 281.8W12- 6 0.025  
5/15at Bromfield School (15-5)MA 290.27L14-16 -0.250  
5/16at Nashoba Regional (14-6)MA 290.28W5- 4 0.300  
5/19SHEPHERD HILL (2-14)MA 278.4W15- 3 0.000  
5/27ST BERNARD-FITCHBURG (9-8)MA 289.710W10- 6 0.150  
5/30ST PETER MARIAN (13-5)MA 292.33W7- 6ot0.275  
6/03vs. St Johns Shrewsbury # (19-4)MA 297.01L5-17 -0.075  
# Neutral site 86.2     0.82  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01ABellingham11-29   8       1.19       1.07
4/02AShrewsbury7-43   -2       ++1.46       4.81
4/09ABlackstone Valley V-T15-411   5       +++1.19       6.43
4/14HNipmuc Regional8-17   7       -1.46       -0.20
4/16AWorcester Combined18-414   16       1.46       -1.65
4/17HBromfield School6-12-6   3       –––-1.46       -9.25
4/24AShepherd Hill13-211   10       1.46       0.52
4/27AWachusett10-55   2       +1.46       3.38
4/28HTantasqua Regional13-211   12       -1.46       -1.30
4/30HNorthbridge10-28   2       ++-1.46       5.71
5/01ANipmuc Regional10-46   4       1.46       1.73
5/04ASt Peter Marian8-12-4   -4       1.46       0.35
5/06HWorcester Combined21-021   19       +-1.46       2.42
5/12ANorthbridge8-9-1   -1       1.46       -0.36
5/14ATantasqua Regional12-66   9       1.46       -3.37
5/15ABromfield School14-16-2   0       1.46       -2.32
5/16ANashoba Regional5-41   -2       +1.46       2.70
5/19HShepherd Hill15-312   13       -1.46       -1.41
5/27HSt Bernard-Fitchburg10-64   4       -1.46       0.42
5/30HSt Peter Marian7-61   -1       +-1.46       2.42
6/03NSt Johns Shrewsbury5-17-12   -7       ––0.00       -4.58
         0.007.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/09ABlackstone Valley V-T15-4-1.00
4/16AWorcester Combined18-41.65
4/24AShepherd Hill13-2-0.52
4/28HTantasqua Regional13-21.30
5/06HWorcester Combined21-0-2.42
5/19HShepherd Hill15-31.41
6/03NSt Johns Shrewsbury5-172.00
10-goal correction: 0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 91.   Natl CCR Rank 603
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 91.29   Natl Power Rank 603
Natl SOS Rating 86.10   Natl SOS Rank 1047
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.82   Natl Quality Win Rank 352
W-L Pct Rating 0.76   W-L Pct Rank 402
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -0.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.3



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