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Our Lady-Good Counsel Falcons (10-8)

Region: DC WCACState: MDCoach: Matt Durkin

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/11LANDON (18-4)DC IAC98.7L4- 9 -0.175  
3/21vs. Severn # (13-10)MD A MIAA95.0L4-11 -0.225  
3/25at Bishop Ireton (7-13)DC WCAC88.5W8- 7 0.200  
3/27PAUL VI (13-7)DC WCAC94.65W8- 3 0.200  
3/28at Mount St Joseph (9-8)MD A MIAA95.3L3- 6 -0.175  
3/31at Bishop O'Connell (5-14)DC WCAC88.4W10- 8 0.200  
4/06at St Marys Ryken (13-4)DC WCAC96.73W11-10ot0.325  
4/07WOOTTON (17-1)MD 43 West93.8L8- 9 -0.300  
4/08CORONADO (21-2)CA City98.9L1- 7 -0.175  
4/14GEORGETOWN PREP (20-3)DC IAC99.6L3-14 -0.150  
4/17DEMATHA (15-6)DC WCAC97.12L3- 9 -0.275  
4/19MALDEN CATHOLIC (11-10)MA 196.3W11- 8 0.275  
4/23BISHOP MCNAMARA (1-12)DC WCAC76.3W18- 2 0.000  
4/24ST JOHNS DC (11-9)DC WCAC89.0W15- 3 0.075  
4/27at Gonzaga (9-12)DC WCAC93.48W6- 5 0.300  
4/28ARCHBISHOP CARROLL (0-13)DC WCAC71.9W17- 0 0.000  
5/04ST JOHNS DC (11-9)DC WCAC89.0W11- 4 0.075  
5/07ST MARYS RYKEN (13-4)DC WCAC96.73L9-10 -0.250  
# Neutral site 92.2     -0.07  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/11HLandon4-9-5   -3       -1.62       -2.16
3/21NSevern4-11-7   -1       –––0.00       -6.20
3/25ABishop Ireton8-71   2       1.81       -1.12
3/27HPaul VI8-35   2       +-1.81       2.72
3/28AMount St Joseph3-6-3   -3       1.62       -0.29
3/31ABishop O'Connell10-82   2       1.81       0.10
4/06ASt Marys Ryken11-101   -3       ++1.81       4.39
4/07HWootton8-9-1   2       -1.41       -2.85
4/08HCoronado1-7-6   -3       -1.40       -2.71
4/14HGeorgetown Prep3-14-11   -4       –––-1.62       -7.23
4/17HDeMatha3-9-6   1       –––-1.81       -6.60
4/19HMalden Catholic11-83   -1       +-1.36       3.75
4/23HBishop McNamara18-216   17       -1.81       -1.39
4/24HSt Johns DC15-312   7       ++-1.81       4.84
4/27AGonzaga6-51   -2       +1.81       3.12
4/28HArchbishop Carroll17-017   22       ––-1.81       -4.68
5/04HSt Johns DC11-47   7       -1.81       -0.16
5/07HSt Marys Ryken9-10-1   0       -1.81       -1.23
         0.00-17.68

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/14HGeorgetown Prep3-141.00
4/23HBishop McNamara18-21.39
4/24HSt Johns DC15-3-2.00
4/28HArchbishop Carroll17-04.68
10-goal correction: 0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 94.   Natl CCR Rank 299
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 94.21   Natl Power Rank 299
Natl SOS Rating 92.12   Natl SOS Rank 223
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.07   Natl Quality Win Rank 1725
W-L Pct Rating 0.56   W-L Pct Rank 1220
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -0.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 7.7



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