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Greensboro Page Pirates (10-5)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Evan Smith

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/06	at Chapel Hill (18-2)	NC 4A	94.0	2	L	13-	15		-0.150
3/13	at NorthWest Guilford (12-6)	NC 4A	85.8		W	14-	8		0.200
3/20	at Charlotte Providence (22-1)	NC 4A	96.7	1	L	13-	16		-0.100
3/24	at R.J. Reynolds (13-6)	NC 4A	85.0		W	7-	6		0.175
3/31	at Cardinal Gibbons (18-4)	NC 3A/2A	89.1	5	L	7-	10		-0.250
4/03	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (12-6)	NC 4A	85.8		L	8-	13		-0.350
4/07	MOUNT TABOR (11-9)	NC 4A	84.1		W	11-	4		0.125
4/09	at West Forsyth (3-13)	NC 4A	72.0		W	16-	6		0.000
4/21	R.J. REYNOLDS (13-6)	NC 4A	85.0		W	16-	7		0.125
4/24	WEST FORSYTH (3-13)	NC 4A	72.0		W	14-	2		0.000
4/28	at Greensboro Grimsley (10-7)	NC 4A	84.8		W	8-	6		0.200
4/29	at Mount Tabor (11-9)	NC 4A	84.1		W	11-	7		0.175
5/01	GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (10-7)	NC 4A	84.8		W	16-	9		0.150
5/08	at Durham Riverside (5-10)	NC 4A	78.7		W	16-	4		0.100
5/11	WAKEFIELD (19-1)	NC 4A	91.7	3	L	11-	17		-0.250
			84.9						0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	A	Chapel Hill	13-	15	-2	-4	+	0.95	2.25
3/13	A	NorthWest Guilford	14-	8	6	2	++	0.95	4.16
3/20	A	Charlotte Providence	13-	16	-3	-6	+	0.95	3.39
3/24	A	R.J. Reynolds	7-	6	1	3	–	0.95	-2.29
3/31	A	Cardinal Gibbons	7-	10	-3	0	–	0.95	-3.30
4/03	H	NorthWest Guilford	8-	13	-5	4	–––	-0.95	-8.73
4/07	H	Mount Tabor	11-	4	7	5	+	-0.95	2.14
4/09	A	West Forsyth	16-	6	10	12	–	0.95	-2.47
4/21	H	R.J. Reynolds	16-	7	9	5	+	-0.95	3.81
4/24	H	West Forsyth	14-	2	12	14	–	-0.95	-2.36
4/28	A	Greensboro Grimsley	8-	6	2	2		0.95	0.02
4/29	A	Mount Tabor	11-	7	4	3		0.95	1.04
5/01	H	Greensboro Grimsley	16-	9	7	4	+	-0.95	3.13
5/08	A	Durham Riverside	16-	4	12	6	++	0.95	5.54
5/11	H	Wakefield	11-	17	-6	0	–––	-0.95	-6.32
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	A	West Forsyth	16-	6	2.47
4/24	H	West Forsyth	14-	2	2.36
5/08	A	Durham Riverside	16-	4	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	883
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.76		Natl Power Rank	883
Natl SOS Rating	84.77		Natl SOS Rank	1280
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1161
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	744
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3

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