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Gunston Day Fighting Herons (8-7)

Region: MD MILLState: MDCoach: Ned Southworth

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27DELMARVA CHRISTIAN (8-8)DE Diamnd75.4W11-102ot0.025  
3/31at Rockbridge Academy (0-4)MD MILL70.5W12- 7 0.050  
4/01ST THOMAS MORE PREP (3-11)DE Diamnd65.9W17- 7 0.000  
4/04at Sandy Spring Friends (2-8)MD MILL75.4W11- 6 0.150  
4/06MILFORD (4-12)DE CapHen73.3W16- 9 0.000  
4/09at Worcester Prep (11-2)MD Indep92.79L4-12 0.000  
4/16SALISBURY (6-5)MD Indep83.1W8- 7ot0.225  
4/17at Notre Dame Academy (11-10)MD MILL92.510L1-14 0.000  
4/23at Kent County (2-10)MD 21 East73.3W11- 7 0.050  
4/27THE HEIGHTS (7-10)MD MILL88.9L4-14 -0.075  
4/30at Calverton (12-3)MD MILL98.31L2-18 0.000  
5/01at Eleanor Roosevelt (7-4)MD MILL87.1L9-13 -0.100  
5/02vs. Sussex Tech # (12-6)DE CapHen84.2L4-18 -0.225  
5/07at Sussex Tech (12-6)DE CapHen84.2W13- 6 1.300  
5/08at Worcester Prep (11-2)MD Indep92.79L4-15 0.000  
# Neutral site 82.5     1.40  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27HDelMarva Christian11-101   9       –––-1.05       -7.83
3/31ARockbridge Academy12-75   8       –1.81       -3.27
4/01HSt Thomas More Prep17-710   18       –––-1.05       -8.32
4/04ASandy Spring Friends11-65   4       1.81       1.27
4/06HMilford16-97   11       –-1.05       -3.94
4/09AWorcester Prep4-12-8   -10       1.81       1.64
4/16HSalisbury8-71   1       -1.81       -0.28
4/17ANotre Dame Academy1-14-13   -14       1.81       1.44
4/23AKent County11-74   8       ––1.41       -4.43
4/27HThe Heights4-14-10   -7       –-1.81       -3.36
4/30ACalverton2-18-16   -18       +1.81       2.25
5/01AEleanor Roosevelt9-13-4   -6       1.81       1.67
5/02NSussex Tech4-18-14   -1       –––0.00       -13.03
5/07ASussex Tech13-67   -2       +++1.05       9.02
5/08AWorcester Prep4-15-11   -10       1.81       -1.36
         0.00-28.54

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01HSt Thomas More Prep17-78.32
4/17ANotre Dame Academy1-14-1.44
4/27HThe Heights4-140.00
4/30ACalverton2-18-2.25
5/02NSussex Tech4-184.00
5/08AWorcester Prep4-151.00
10-goal correction: 0.64

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 83.   Natl CCR Rank 1561
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 83.19   Natl Power Rank 1561
Natl SOS Rating 82.44   Natl SOS Rank 1695
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.40   Natl Quality Win Rank 140
W-L Pct Rating 0.53   W-L Pct Rank 1302
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -16.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -8.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -6.0



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