| Region: FL 5B Centrl | State: FL | Coach: Mark Ayad |
| Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/10 | TIMBER CREEK (16-2) | FL 8B Centrl | 95.7 | 2 | L | 6- | 17 | | 0.000 |
2/11 | APOPKA (12-5) | FL 6B Centrl | 88.8 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.200 |
2/17 | WINTER SPRINGS (11-5) | FL 4B Centrl | 91.7 | 9 | L | 3- | 12 | | -0.250 |
2/20 | TRINITY PREP (11-4) | FL 0B Indep | 84.6 | | W | 10- | 1 | | 0.100 |
2/24 | at Seminole (5-11) | FL 4B Centrl | 77.2 | | W | 10- | 0 | | 0.075 |
2/26 | DR. PHILLIPS (2-13) | FL 7B Centrl | 72.3 | | W | 21- | 1 | | 0.000 |
3/03 | at Lake Highland Prep (16-5) | FL 8B Centrl | 94.3 | 3 | L | 1- | 10 | | 0.000 |
3/05 | LAKE HOWELL (6-9) | FL 5B Centrl | 81.6 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.050 |
3/10 | FLAGLER PALM COAST (11-6) | FL 4B Centrl | 88.0 | | W | 15- | 8 | | 0.200 |
3/12 | at Lake Brantley (20-2) | FL 5B Centrl | 95.9 | 1 | L | 1- | 13 | | 0.000 |
3/17 | at Oviedo (2-13) | FL 5B Centrl | 78.9 | | W | 13- | 1 | | 0.125 |
3/19 | LAKE MARY (10-5) | FL 4B Centrl | 91.6 | 10 | L | 5- | 17 | | -0.250 |
3/24 | LYMAN (6-10) | FL 5B Centrl | 82.5 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.100 |
3/26 | MATANZAS (3-9) | FL 4B Centrl | 76.1 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/30 | BOONE (11-6) | FL 8B Centrl | 87.9 | | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.175 |
4/07 | vs. Lyman # (6-10) | FL 5B Centrl | 82.5 | | W | 6- | 5 | 2ot | 0.150 |
4/09 | at Lake Brantley (20-2) | FL 5B Centrl | 95.9 | 1 | L | 1- | 12 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.2 | | | | | | 0.67 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/10 | H | Timber Creek | 6- | 17 | -11 | -10 | | -2.11 | -0.87 | |
2/11 | H | Apopka | 10- | 7 | 3 | 2 | | -2.11 | 0.71 | |
2/17 | H | Winter Springs | 3- | 12 | -9 | 0 | ––– | -2.11 | -8.86 | |
2/20 | H | Trinity Prep | 10- | 1 | 9 | 6 | + | -2.11 | 3.21 | |
2/24 | A | Seminole | 10- | 0 | 10 | 7 | + | 2.11 | 3.16 | |
2/26 | H | Dr. Phillips | 21- | 1 | 20 | 17 | + | -2.11 | 3.21 | |
3/03 | A | Lake Highland Prep | 1- | 10 | -9 | -11 | + | 2.11 | 2.08 | |
3/05 | H | Lake Howell | 13- | 3 | 10 | 8 | + | -2.11 | 2.48 | |
3/10 | H | Flagler Palm Coast | 15- | 8 | 7 | 2 | ++ | -2.11 | 4.66 | |
3/12 | A | Lake Brantley | 1- | 13 | -12 | -14 | + | 2.11 | 2.25 | |
3/17 | A | Oviedo | 13- | 1 | 12 | 5 | +++ | 2.11 | 7.50 | |
3/19 | H | Lake Mary | 5- | 17 | -12 | 0 | ––– | -2.11 | -12.43 | |
3/24 | H | Lyman | 6- | 5 | 1 | 6 | –– | -2.11 | -5.44 | |
3/26 | H | Matanzas | 15- | 3 | 12 | 12 | | -2.11 | -0.30 | |
3/30 | H | Boone | 8- | 6 | 2 | 3 | | -2.11 | -1.28 | |
4/07 | N | Lyman | 6- | 5 | 1 | 4 | – | 0.00 | -3.33 | |
4/09 | A | Lake Brantley | 1- | 12 | -11 | -14 | + | 2.11 | 3.25 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/10 | H | Timber Creek | 6- | 17 | 1.00 |
2/24 | A | Seminole | 10- | 0 | 0.00 |
2/26 | H | Dr. Phillips | 21- | 1 | -3.21 |
3/05 | H | Lake Howell | 13- | 3 | 0.00 |
3/12 | A | Lake Brantley | 1- | 13 | -2.25 |
3/17 | A | Oviedo | 13- | 1 | -2.00 |
3/19 | H | Lake Mary | 5- | 17 | 2.00 |
3/26 | H | Matanzas | 15- | 3 | 0.30 |
4/09 | A | Lake Brantley | 1- | 12 | -3.25 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.44 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 89. | | Natl CCR Rank | 907 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 89.12 | | Natl Power Rank | 907 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 85.96 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1080 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.67 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 469 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.65 | | W-L Pct Rank | 802 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -10.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 3-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.7 |
| 
