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Houston Christian Mustangs (5-9)

Region: TX 2 South

State: TX

Coach: Pete Lehle

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/27	KINGWOOD II (3-10)	TX 2 South	68.2		L	8-	9		-0.325
3/04	WESTSIDE (1-13)	TX 2 South	64.5		W	8-	4		0.125
3/06	CINCO RANCH (9-8)	TX 2 South	76.4		L	5-	7		-0.200
3/10	FORT BEND COUNTY (5-10)	TX 2 South	71.6		W	6-	5		0.225
3/24	MEMORIAL-HOUSTON (16-7)	TX 2 South	84.4	6	L	2-	16		0.000
3/28	ST THOMAS (9-6)	TX 2 South	77.9		L	10-	15		-0.150
3/31	at Friendswood (9-9)	TX 2 South	75.3		L	8-	10		-0.175
4/02	at Katy-Taylor (7-10)	TX 2 South	75.2		L	6-	10		-0.150
4/06	KLEIN (11-5)	TX 2 South	80.6		L	3-	11		-0.100
4/09	STRATFORD-WESTCHESTER (14-5)	TX 2 South	81.6	8	W	11-	10		0.375
4/14	at Bellaire (5-10)	TX 2 South	72.2		W	11-	8		0.300
4/20	at Cy-Fair (11-4)	TX 2 South	78.9		L	9-	12		-0.125
4/21	KATY HS (0-15)	TX 2 South	60.6		W	9-	0		0.050
4/23	CLEAR LAKE (12-4)	TX 2 South	80.9		L	6-	14		-0.125
			74.9						-0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	H	Kingwood II	8-	9	-1	3	––	-0.87	-4.49
3/04	H	Westside	8-	4	4	5		-0.87	-1.25
3/06	H	Cinco Ranch	5-	7	-2	-2		-0.87	0.28
3/10	H	Fort Bend County	6-	5	1	1		-0.87	0.37
3/24	H	Memorial-Houston	2-	16	-14	-10	–	-0.87	-3.99
3/28	H	St Thomas	10-	15	-5	-4		-0.87	-1.13
3/31	A	Friendswood	8-	10	-2	-3		0.87	1.19
4/02	A	Katy-Taylor	6-	10	-4	-4		0.87	-0.43
4/06	H	Klein	3-	11	-8	-6		-0.87	-1.95
4/09	H	Stratford-Westchester	11-	10	1	-5	+++	-0.87	6.44
4/14	A	Bellaire	11-	8	3	-2	++	0.87	4.62
4/20	A	Cy-Fair	9-	12	-3	-5		0.87	1.95
4/21	H	Katy HS	9-	0	9	8		-0.87	0.92
4/23	H	Clear Lake	6-	14	-8	-5	–	-0.87	-2.53
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Memorial-Houston	2-	16	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	2621
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.12		Natl Power Rank	2621
Natl SOS Rating	74.62		Natl SOS Rank	2657
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	2053
W-L Pct Rating	0.36		W-L Pct Rank	2024
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7

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