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Hempfield Black Knights (20-5)

Region: PA LL01State: PACoach: Doug Bailey

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/21at Downingtown East (20-4)PA ChesMon97.2L7- 9 -0.225  
3/25at Lancaster Cou Day (10-8)PA LL0188.4W10- 3 0.050  
3/27MANHEIM TOWNSHIP (20-6)PA LL0196.32W10- 3 0.200  
3/28at Easton (14-7)PA LehighV88.8L5- 8 -0.425  
3/31PENN MANOR (11-8)PA LL0190.410W12- 0 0.025  
4/06at Conestoga Valley (6-11)PA LL0283.4W15- 1 0.000  
4/08GARDEN SPOT (1-16)PA LL0269.7W15- 0 0.000  
4/13at Cocalico (4-15)PA LL0277.0W19- 1 0.000  
4/14at Warwick (9-9)PA LL0190.87W9- 6 0.125  
4/16at Elizabethtown (5-13)PA LL0280.8W16- 2 0.000  
4/17EPHRATA (11-9)PA LL0287.8W17- 5 0.000  
4/18at Cumberland Valley (10-7)PA Mid 187.6W13- 4 0.025  
4/22LAMPETER-STRASBURG (12-6)PA LL0290.59W15- 3 0.025  
4/24CARLISLE (18-8)PA Mid 191.55W10- 2 0.025  
4/27LANCASTER COU DAY (10-8)PA LL0188.4W15- 6 0.000  
4/29at Manheim Township (20-6)PA LL0196.32L5- 9 -0.275  
5/01at Penn Manor (11-8)PA LL0190.410W15- 3 0.075  
5/05WARWICK (9-9)PA LL0190.87W7- 4 0.075  
5/06EPHRATA (11-9)PA LL0287.8W12- 4 0.000  
5/08vs. Manheim Township # (20-6)PA LL0196.32W5- 1 0.200  
5/12CUMBERLAND VALLEY (10-7)PA Mid 187.6W16- 4 0.000  
5/16vs. Conrad Weiser # (19-3)PA Berks90.78W12- 1 0.000  
5/19vs. Hershey # (22-3)PA Mid 195.23W17- 3 0.150  
5/21vs. Manheim Township # (20-6)PA LL0196.32L6- 8 -0.300  
5/26vs. Springfield-Delco # (19-6)PA Centrl96.2L1-10 -0.275  
# Neutral site 89.4     -0.52  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/21ADowningtown East7-9-2   -1       1.08       -0.66
3/25ALancaster Cou Day10-37   8       0.94       -0.66
3/27HManheim Township10-37   2       ++-0.94       4.50
3/28AEaston5-8-3   7       –––1.08       -10.06
3/31HPenn Manor12-012   9       +-0.94       2.83
4/06AConestoga Valley15-114   12       0.94       1.66
4/08HGarden Spot15-015   28       –––-0.94       -13.33
4/13ACocalico19-118   19       0.94       -0.66
4/14AWarwick9-63   5       0.94       -1.75
4/16AElizabethtown16-214   14       0.94       -0.12
4/17HEphrata17-512   10       -0.94       1.61
4/18ACumberland Valley13-49   9       0.94       -0.13
4/22HLampeter-Strasburg15-312   9       +-0.94       2.78
4/24HCarlisle10-28   9       -0.94       -0.54
4/27HLancaster Cou Day15-69   10       -0.94       -0.53
4/29AManheim Township5-9-4   1       ––0.94       -4.63
5/01APenn Manor15-312   7       ++0.94       4.71
5/05HWarwick7-43   7       –-0.94       -3.62
5/06HEphrata12-48   10       –-0.94       -2.39
5/08NManheim Township5-14   2       +0.00       2.44
5/12HCumberland Valley16-412   11       -0.94       1.00
5/16NConrad Weiser12-111   10       0.00       0.73
5/19NHershey17-314   4       +++0.00       9.63
5/21NManheim Township6-8-2   2       –0.00       -3.56
5/26NSpringfield-Delco1-10-9   1       –––0.00       -9.71
         0.00-20.43

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/31HPenn Manor12-0-2.00
4/06AConestoga Valley15-1-1.66
4/08HGarden Spot15-013.33
4/13ACocalico19-10.66
4/16AElizabethtown16-20.12
4/17HEphrata17-5-1.61
4/22HLampeter-Strasburg15-3-2.00
5/01APenn Manor15-3-2.00
5/12HCumberland Valley16-4-1.00
5/16NConrad Weiser12-1-0.73
5/19NHershey17-3-4.00
10-goal correction: -0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 97.   Natl CCR Rank 114
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 96.90   Natl Power Rank 113
Natl SOS Rating 89.12   Natl SOS Rank 609
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.52   Natl Quality Win Rank 2403
W-L Pct Rating 0.80   W-L Pct Rank 314
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 20-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 4.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 10-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 6.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 17-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 7.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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