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Herndon Hornets (8-6)

Region: VA ConcordState: VACoach: Bill Will

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/12SOUTH LAKES (5-7)VA Liberty87.9W11- 9 0.175  
3/18OAKTON (5-8)VA Concord90.97L6-14 -0.225  
3/20at Westfield (7-8)VA Concord90.1W9- 7 0.325  
3/24at J.E.B. Stuart (1-11)VA Nationl70.3W14- 3 0.000  
3/27CHANTILLY (16-3)VA Concord95.42L7- 8 -0.175  
3/31at Robinson (12-7)VA Concord93.54L4- 7 -0.075  
4/06vs. McLean # (3-10)VA Liberty82.2W15- 4 0.075  
4/06vs. Mount Vernon # (11-6)VA Nationl86.5W11- 4 0.125  
4/07vs. Loudoun Valley # (17-4)VA Cedar96.2L4- 7 -0.100  
4/08at West Springfield (14-4)VA Patriot92.36W5- 4ot0.350  
4/16at Fairfax (4-8)VA Concord85.6W11- 9 0.175  
4/22CENTREVILLE (5-8)VA Concord87.1W11-10 0.150  
4/28at Stone Bridge (8-5)VA Liberty90.210L9-102ot-0.200  
5/01OAKTON (5-8)VA Concord90.97L3-10 -0.225  
# Neutral site 88.5     0.37  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/12HSouth Lakes11-92   3       -1.30       -1.33
3/18HOakton6-14-8   -1       –––-1.30       -6.92
3/20AWestfield9-72   -3       ++1.30       5.19
3/24AJ.E.B. Stuart14-311   15       ––1.30       -4.32
3/27HChantilly7-8-1   -3       +-1.30       2.04
3/31ARobinson4-7-3   -7       +1.30       3.93
4/06NMcLean15-411   7       +0.00       3.74
4/06NMount Vernon11-47   5       0.00       1.72
4/07NLoudoun Valley4-7-3   -6       +0.00       2.94
4/08AWest Springfield5-41   -4       ++1.30       4.80
4/16AFairfax11-92   3       1.30       -0.68
4/22HCentreville11-101   4       -1.30       -3.03
4/28AStone Bridge9-10-1   -2       1.30       0.78
5/01HOakton3-10-7   -1       ––-1.30       -5.92
         0.002.94

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/24AJ.E.B. Stuart14-34.32
4/06NMcLean15-4-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.24

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 90.   Natl CCR Rank 720
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 90.21   Natl Power Rank 720
Natl SOS Rating 88.32   Natl SOS Rank 726
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.37   Natl Quality Win Rank 829
W-L Pct Rating 0.57   W-L Pct Rank 1160
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.3



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