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Half Hollow Hills East Thunderbirds (4-13)

Conference: Div IRegion: NY A Sec 11State: NYCoach: Mike Conway

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/23PLAINEDGE (13-6)NY B Sec 895.3L1- 5 -0.075  
3/31HARBORFIELDS (13-6)NY B Sec 1194.9L5- 8 -0.150  
4/07WALT WHITMAN (16-3)NY A Sec 1197.46L6- 8 -0.100  
4/15WARD MELVILLE (16-4)NY A Sec 1198.32L1-12 0.000  
4/17EAST ISLIP (11-7)NY A Sec 1195.4L3- 7 -0.100  
4/21at Sachem North (13-6)NY A Sec 1196.0L5- 9 -0.100  
4/23NORTH BABYLON (7-10)NY A Sec 1188.6W9- 2 0.250  
4/25BAY SHORE (11-8)NY A Sec 1195.5L6-15 -0.100  
4/29at Brentwood (2-15)NY A Sec 1184.3W13- 8 0.075  
5/01at William Floyd (13-6)NY A Sec 1197.09L1-14 -0.050  
5/05at West Babylon (11-7)NY A Sec 1193.7L2- 5 -0.150  
5/07MIDDLE COUNTRY (4-12)NY A Sec 1189.2L6- 7+ot-0.200  
5/09at Riverhead (9-8)NY A Sec 1190.1L4- 5 -0.225  
5/11at Commack (3-14)NY A Sec 1186.0W6- 5 0.175  
5/13COPIAGUE (6-11)NY A Sec 1187.2L3- 7 -0.275  
5/16at Half Hollow Hills West (9-9)NY B Sec 1194.8L7-18 -0.075  
5/18at Longwood (2-15)NY A Sec 1185.4W13- 4 0.125  
 92.3     -0.98  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/23HPlainedge1-5-4   -7       +-0.81       3.08
3/31HHarborfields5-8-3   -4       -0.34       1.08
4/07HWalt Whitman6-8-2   -6       ++-0.34       4.16
4/15HWard Melville1-12-11   -11       -0.34       -0.08
4/17HEast Islip3-7-4   -6       -0.34       1.89
4/21ASachem North5-9-4   -6       0.34       1.91
4/23HNorth Babylon9-27   0       +++-0.34       6.57
4/25HBay Shore6-15-9   -6       –-0.34       -3.49
4/29ABrentwood13-85   7       –0.34       -2.14
5/01AWilliam Floyd1-14-13   -8       ––0.34       -5.33
5/05AWest Babylon2-5-3   -4       0.34       1.40
5/07HMiddle Country6-7-1   -2       -0.34       1.03
5/09ARiverhead4-5-1   -1       0.34       -0.33
5/11ACommack6-51   3       0.34       -1.80
5/13HCopiague3-7-4   1       ––-0.34       -5.01
5/16AHalf Hollow Hills West7-18-11   -7       ––0.34       -4.17
5/18ALongwood13-49   5       ++0.34       4.31
         0.003.08

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/15HWard Melville1-120.08
5/01AWilliam Floyd1-143.00
5/16AHalf Hollow Hills West7-181.00
10-goal correction: 0.24

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 1081
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 87.37   Natl Power Rank 1081
Natl SOS Rating 92.21   Natl SOS Rank 215
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.98   Natl Quality Win Rank 2946
W-L Pct Rating 0.24   W-L Pct Rank 2396
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-13   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -8.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -6.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.0



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