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Highland Park Fighting Scots (18-1)

Region: TX 1 NorthState: TXCoach: Derek Thomson

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/02at Dallas Jesuit (14-6)TX 1 North93.93W7- 6 0.150  
3/06at Strake Jesuit (13-9)TX 1 South90.18W13- 5 0.050  
3/07at The Woodlands (9-6)TX 1 South90.67W17- 6 0.075  
3/10LOVETT (19-3)GA Area0895.4W11- 4 0.125  
3/19WESTLAKE (6-10)TX 1 Centrl84.0W16- 2 0.000  
3/20ST MARY'S ANNAPOLIS (15-2)MD A MIAA99.7L7-16 -0.275  
3/21FORT COLLINS UNIFIED (9-7)CO North95.1W10- 4 0.125  
3/27ST MARK'S (17-4)TX 1 North95.62W5- 4ot0.100  
3/28WESTWOOD (9-7)TX 1 Centrl85.9W18- 4 0.000  
4/02ST CHARLES (16-4)IL A DuPage292.7W13- 3 0.050  
4/04vs. Montgomery # (16-6)NJ Grp-III95.3W13- 5 0.150  
4/05at Lawrenceville (13-6)NJ Private97.0W12-11ot0.225  
4/09at Plano (10-6)TX 1 North91.16W17- 4 0.075  
4/17SOUTHLAKE CARROLL (11-11)TX 1 North83.9W17- 1 0.000  
4/22EPISCOPAL DALLAS (13-6)TX 1 North93.84W14- 6 0.075  
5/11DALLAS JESUIT (14-6)TX 1 North93.93W10- 7 0.075  
5/13vs. St Mark's # (17-4)TX 1 North95.62W6- 3 0.150  
5/16vs. Bowie # (14-6)TX 1 Centrl87.710W14- 0 0.000  
5/17vs. St Mark's # (17-4)TX 1 North95.62W7- 5 1.150  
# Neutral site 92.5     2.30  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/02ADallas Jesuit7-61   4       –1.39       -2.85
3/06AStrake Jesuit13-58   8       1.39       0.17
3/07AThe Woodlands17-611   7       ++1.39       4.24
3/10HLovett11-47   5       +-1.04       2.21
3/19HWestlake16-214   14       -1.39       -0.26
3/20HSt Mary's Annapolis7-16-9   1       –––-1.41       -9.90
3/21HFort Collins Unified10-46   5       -0.94       1.00
3/27HSt Mark's5-41   6       ––-1.39       -4.57
3/28HWestwood18-414   13       -1.39       0.84
4/02HSt Charles13-310   8       +-1.29       2.24
4/04NMontgomery13-58   4       ++0.00       4.07
4/05ALawrenceville12-111   1       1.33       0.13
4/09APlano17-413   7       +++1.39       6.33
4/17HSouthlake Carroll17-116   16       -1.39       -0.32
4/22HEpiscopal Dallas14-68   7       -1.39       1.24
5/11HDallas Jesuit10-73   7       –-1.39       -3.63
5/13NSt Mark's6-33   4       0.00       -1.18
5/16NBowie14-014   12       +0.00       2.16
5/17NSt Mark's7-52   4       –0.00       -2.18
         0.00-0.25

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/07AThe Woodlands17-6-1.00
3/19HWestlake16-20.26
3/28HWestwood18-4-0.84
4/02HSt Charles13-30.00
4/09APlano17-4-3.00
4/17HSouthlake Carroll17-10.32
5/16NBowie14-0-2.16
10-goal correction: -0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 198.   Natl CCR Rank 21
Natl Poll Vote 98.   Natl Poll Rank 21
Natl Power Rating 99.20   Natl Power Rank 21
Natl SOS Rating 92.57   Natl SOS Rank 184
Natl Quality Win Rating 2.30   Natl Quality Win Rank 22
W-L Pct Rating 0.95   W-L Pct Rank 40
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 6-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 10-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 6.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 13-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 8.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 6.3



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