High School Computer Ratings

Wilmington Hoggard Vikings (14-7)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Steve Treman

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/06	at Ardrey Kell (11-7)	NC 4A	83.4		W	17-	6		0.200
3/07	at Charlotte Butler (4-13)	NC 4A	72.5		W	12-	2		0.000
3/13	CHARLOTTE LATIN (10-10)	NC Prvate	88.9		W	19-	15		0.250
3/16	WILMINGTON ASHLEY (7-9)	NC 4A	78.4		W	18-	4		0.000
3/21	CARY-MIDDLE CREEK (6-12)	NC 4A	75.5		W	12-	5		0.000
3/23	PROVIDENCE DAY (17-6)	NC Prvate	94.2		L	10-	11	ot	-0.100
3/26	at Wilmington New Hanover (4-13)	NC 4A	75.7		W	12-	5		0.050
3/30	at Wilmington Laney (12-4)	NC 4A	87.3	9	W	15-	12		0.250
4/03	MOUNT TABOR (11-9)	NC 4A	84.1		L	6-	7		-0.325
4/04	CHARLOTTE MYERS PARK (11-8)	NC 4A	85.3		W	14-	6		0.200
4/06	vs. Thos Jefferson # (4-10)	VA Liberty	85.8		W	15-	8		0.200
4/07	vs. Milton # (15-5)	GA Area06	93.3		W	7-	6		0.400
4/08	vs. Great Valley # (6-11)	PA ChesMon	85.9		L	9-	10		-0.300
4/14	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (12-6)	NC 4A	85.8		L	6-	7		-0.300
4/17	at East Chapel Hill (14-5)	NC 4A	87.5	7	L	5-	6	ot	-0.225
4/18	at Cedar Ridge (8-10)	NC 3A/2A	76.1		W	11-	4		0.050
4/21	at Wilmington Ashley (7-9)	NC 4A	78.4		W	13-	6		0.050
4/24	WILMINGTON NEW HANOVER (4-13)	NC 4A	75.7		W	12-	6		0.000
4/27	at Cape Fear Academy (15-8)	NC Prvate	86.5		L	12-	13		-0.250
5/01	WILMINGTON LANEY (12-4)	NC 4A	87.3	9	W	9-	8	ot	0.225
5/05	WAKEFIELD (19-1)	NC 4A	91.7	3	L	4-	11		-0.225
# Neutral site			83.8						0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	A	Ardrey Kell	17-	6	11	2	+++	0.95	9.38
3/07	A	Charlotte Butler	12-	2	10	10		0.95	-0.26
3/13	H	Charlotte Latin	19-	15	4	0	++	-1.12		4.45
3/16	H	Wilmington Ashley	18-	4	14	10	+	-0.95	3.96
3/21	H	Cary-Middle Creek	12-	5	7	10	–	-0.95	-2.83
3/23	H	Providence Day	10-	11	-1	-6	++	-1.12		4.70
3/26	A	Wilmington New Hanover	12-	5	7	8		0.95	-0.79
3/30	A	Wilmington Laney	15-	12	3	0	+	0.95	3.46
4/03	H	Mount Tabor	6-	7	-1	3	––	-0.95	-4.17
4/04	H	Charlotte Myers Park	14-	6	8	2	+++	-0.95	6.06
4/06	N	Thos Jefferson	15-	8	7	2	++	0.00		5.41
4/07	N	Milton	7-	6	1	-6	+++	0.00		6.97
4/08	N	Great Valley	9-	10	-1	2	–	0.00		-2.50
4/14	H	NorthWest Guilford	6-	7	-1	2	–	-0.95	-3.04
4/17	A	East Chapel Hill	5-	6	-1	-1		0.95	-0.35
4/18	A	Cedar Ridge	11-	4	7	8		0.95	-0.54
4/21	A	Wilmington Ashley	13-	6	7	8		0.95	-1.14
4/24	H	Wilmington New Hanover	12-	6	6	10	–	-0.95	-3.68
4/27	A	Cape Fear Academy	12-	13	-1	0		1.12		-0.74
5/01	H	Wilmington Laney	9-	8	1	1		-0.95	-0.44
5/05	H	Wakefield	4-	11	-7	-1	––	-0.95	-5.63
									0.00	18.29