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Hotchkiss Bearcats (10-3)

Conference: FNDRegion: NE 1 WestState: CTCoach: Chris Burchfield

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/11at Northfield Mt Hermon (6-10)NE 1 West89.79W8- 5 0.150  
4/15vs. Lawrenceville # (13-6)NJ Private97.0W9- 4 0.275  
4/18BRUNSWICK SCHOOL (14-4)NE 1 West97.03L8- 9 -0.250  
4/22KENT SCHOOL (7-10)NE 1 West88.8W9- 3 0.050  
4/23LONGMEADOW (15-7)MA 296.2W14- 0 0.225  
4/25at Salisbury School (13-1)NE 1 West99.32L5-10 -0.125  
4/29at Avon Old Farms (10-5)NE 1 West93.56W10- 9 0.250  
5/02DEERFIELD (15-1)NE 1 West99.61L6- 73ot-0.200  
5/09CHOATE (7-9)NE 1 West89.310W10- 5 0.075  
5/13TRINITY-PAWLING (7-9)NE 1 West90.28W12- 8 0.125  
5/16TAFT SCHOOL (10-5)NE 1 West93.65W9- 3 0.200  
5/20WESTMINSTER SCHOOL (8-6)NE 1 West92.27W9- 3 0.150  
5/23at Loomis Chaffee (4-12)NE 1 West87.9W7- 4 0.125  
# Neutral site 93.4     1.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/11ANorthfield Mt Hermon8-53   4       1.30       -0.65
4/15NLawrenceville9-45   -1       ++0.00       5.58
4/18HBrunswick School8-9-1   0       -1.30       -1.07
4/22HKent School9-36   8       -1.30       -1.58
4/23HLongmeadow14-014   1       +++-1.01       12.81
4/25ASalisbury School5-10-5   -5       1.30       0.11
4/29AAvon Old Farms10-91   0       1.30       0.98
5/02HDeerfield6-7-1   -2       -1.30       1.19
5/09HChoate10-55   7       -1.30       -1.83
5/13HTrinity-Pawling12-84   5       -1.30       -0.93
5/16HTaft School9-36   2       +-1.30       3.63
5/20HWestminster School9-36   4       +-1.30       2.42
5/23ALoomis Chaffee7-43   5       1.30       -2.27
         0.0018.39

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/23HLongmeadow14-0-4.00
10-goal correction: -0.31

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 96.   Natl CCR Rank 154
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 96.42   Natl Power Rank 154
Natl SOS Rating 93.32   Natl SOS Rank 106
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.05   Natl Quality Win Rank 243
W-L Pct Rating 0.77   W-L Pct Rank 385
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -0.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 5.0



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