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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Heritage-Leesburg Pride (7-6)

Region: VA Dulles

State: VA

Coach: Jason Burke

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/11	OSBOURN (6-8)	VA Cedar	85.0		W	6-	2		0.100
3/20	at Brentsville (5-8)	VA NoWest	85.4		L	10-	11	ot	-0.325
3/23	LOUDOUN VALLEY (17-4)	VA Cedar	96.2		L	3-	14		-0.125
3/30	at Potomac Falls (2-8)	VA Dulles	83.7		W	11-	7		0.200
4/02	LOUDOUN COUNTY (4-8)	VA Dulles	85.9	10	W	15-	10		0.125
4/13	GEORGE MASON (13-3)	VA Dulles	93.2	2	L	6-	12		-0.225
4/15	at Fairfax (4-8)	VA Concord	85.6		W	8-	7		0.200
4/23	at Briar Woods (7-9)	VA Dulles	90.5	5	W	13-	12	ot	0.350
4/25	PARK VIEW (0-12)	VA Dulles	69.0		W	21-	0		0.000
4/27	at Dominion HS (11-7)	VA Dulles	90.8	4	L	14-	15		-0.100
4/30	BROAD RUN (16-4)	VA Dulles	96.2	1	L	7-	19		-0.075
5/04	at Freedom-South Riding (7-8)	VA Dulles	86.4	9	W	12-	9		0.250
5/11	BRIAR WOODS (7-9)	VA Dulles	90.5	5	L	9-	11		-0.250
			87.6						0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	H	Osbourn	6-	2	4	6		-1.69		-1.65
3/20	A	Brentsville	10-	11	-1	3	–	1.70	-3.64
3/23	H	Loudoun Valley	3-	14	-11	-5	––	-1.69		-5.51
3/30	A	Potomac Falls	11-	7	4	2	+	1.70	2.14
4/02	H	Loudoun County	15-	10	5	5		-1.70	-0.12
4/13	H	George Mason	6-	12	-6	-1	––	-1.70	-4.98
4/15	A	Fairfax	8-	7	1	2		1.50		-0.84
4/23	A	Briar Woods	13-	12	1	-4	++	1.70	4.67
4/25	H	Park View	21-	0	21	19		-1.70	1.70
4/27	A	Dominion HS	14-	15	-1	-6	++	1.70	4.55
4/30	H	Broad Run	7-	19	-12	-7	––	-1.70	-5.34
5/04	A	Freedom-South Riding	12-	9	3	0	+	1.70	2.74
5/11	H	Briar Woods	9-	11	-2	0		-1.70	-1.73
									0.00	-8.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	Loudoun Valley	3-	14	1.00
4/25	H	Park View	21-	0	-1.70
4/30	H	Broad Run	7-	19	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	841
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.97		Natl Power Rank	841
Natl SOS Rating	87.42		Natl SOS Rank	864
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1213
W-L Pct Rating	0.54		W-L Pct Rank	1291
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7

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