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Ithaca Little Red (18-3)

Region: NY A Sec 4State: NYCoach: Frank Welch

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/31CHENANGO FORKS (15-6)NY B Sec 498.03W8- 4 0.150  
4/03HORSEHEADS (4-14)NY B Sec 487.310W17- 7 0.000  
4/04SHAKER (12-7)NY A Sec 290.4W9- 3 0.000  
4/07BINGHAMTON (11-9)NY A Sec 494.15W11- 4 0.075  
4/15at Corning West (11-8)NY A Sec 494.16W10- 7 0.150  
4/17HEWLETT (12-6)NY B Sec 893.7W6- 5 0.100  
4/21VESTAL (7-12)NY A Sec 491.38W6- 5 0.075  
4/23IRONDEQUOIT (14-5)NY B Sec 595.3W7- 6ot0.125  
4/24at Union-Endicott (0-19)NY B Sec 480.5W11- 5 0.000  
4/28at Corning East (18-2)NY B Sec 499.21L7- 8 -0.200  
5/01at Chenango Forks (15-6)NY B Sec 498.03L13-15 -0.275  
5/05at Horseheads (4-14)NY B Sec 487.310W12- 2 0.075  
5/08at Binghamton (11-9)NY A Sec 494.15W12- 5 0.150  
5/12CORNING WEST (11-8)NY A Sec 494.16W16- 5 0.100  
5/15at Vestal (7-12)NY A Sec 491.38W7- 3 0.125  
5/19UNION-ENDICOTT (0-19)NY B Sec 480.5W20- 4 0.000  
5/21CORNING EAST (18-2)NY B Sec 499.21W14-11 0.250  
5/29VESTAL (7-12)NY A Sec 491.38W12- 5 0.075  
6/02BINGHAMTON (11-9)NY A Sec 494.15W11- 3 0.075  
6/09vs. West Genesee # (20-2)NY A Sec 398.5W6- 2 0.250  
6/11vs. Orchard Park # (21-2)NY A Sec 699.4L7- 8 -0.225  
# Neutral site 92.9     1.08  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/31HChenango Forks8-44   4       -1.19       0.50
4/03HHorseheads17-710   10       -1.19       0.44
4/04HShaker9-36   10       –-1.10       -3.50
4/07HBinghamton11-47   7       -1.19       0.20
4/15ACorning West10-73   4       1.19       -0.73
4/17HHewlett6-51   6       ––-1.23       -5.34
4/21HVestal6-51   7       –––-1.19       -6.03
4/23HIrondequoit7-61   5       –-1.26       -3.76
4/24AUnion-Endicott11-56   13       –––1.19       -7.04
4/28ACorning East7-8-1   -2       1.19       1.40
5/01AChenango Forks13-15-2   1       –1.19       -3.13
5/05AHorseheads12-210   7       +1.19       2.81
5/08ABinghamton12-57   4       +1.19       2.57
5/12HCorning West16-511   6       ++-1.19       4.90
5/15AVestal7-34   5       1.19       -0.66
5/19HUnion-Endicott20-416   15       -1.19       0.59
5/21HCorning East14-113   0       +-1.19       3.02
5/29HVestal12-57   7       -1.19       -0.03
6/02HBinghamton11-38   7       -1.19       1.20
6/09NWest Genesee6-24   0       +0.00       3.66
6/11NOrchard Park7-8-1   -1       0.00       -0.39
         0.00-9.33

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03HHorseheads17-7-0.44
5/05AHorseheads12-20.00
5/12HCorning West16-5-1.00
5/19HUnion-Endicott20-4-0.59
10-goal correction: -0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 197.   Natl CCR Rank 31
Natl Poll Vote 98.   Natl Poll Rank 29
Natl Power Rating 98.79   Natl Power Rank 33
Natl SOS Rating 92.67   Natl SOS Rank 170
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.08   Natl Quality Win Rank 226
W-L Pct Rating 0.86   W-L Pct Rank 165
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 12-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 5.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 14-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.7



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