| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Alex Gorman |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/13 | CHANTILLY (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 3- | 8 | | -0.125 |
3/20 | at Yorktown (5-12) | VA Nationl | 83.0 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.175 |
3/24 | at Madison (11-3) | VA Liberty | 93.9 | 3 | L | 5- | 17 | | -0.075 |
3/27 | LANGLEY (21-1) | VA Liberty | 98.2 | 1 | L | 8- | 16 | | -0.075 |
3/31 | STONE BRIDGE (8-5) | VA Liberty | 90.2 | 10 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.225 |
4/04 | vs. Ravenwood # (11-7) | TN 1 East | 84.2 | | L | 11- | 13 | | -0.300 |
4/06 | vs. Wilmington Hoggard # (14-7) | NC 4A | 87.4 | | L | 8- | 15 | | -0.225 |
4/13 | MCLEAN (3-10) | VA Liberty | 82.2 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.400 |
4/24 | MARSHALL (3-9) | VA Liberty | 80.8 | | W | 17- | 5 | | 0.050 |
4/25 | at Woodson (11-6) | VA Liberty | 93.3 | 5 | L | 6- | 11 | | -0.075 |
4/28 | at South Lakes (5-7) | VA Liberty | 87.9 | | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.275 |
5/01 | at Stone Bridge (8-5) | VA Liberty | 90.2 | 10 | W | 13- | 12 | ot | 0.350 |
5/05 | at Langley (21-1) | VA Liberty | 98.2 | 1 | L | 5- | 15 | | 0.000 |
5/12 | at Chantilly (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 6- | 10 | | -0.050 |
| # Neutral site | | 90.0 | | | | | | -0.70 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | H | Chantilly | 3- | 8 | -5 | -5 | | -1.30 | 0.10 | |
3/20 | A | Yorktown | 9- | 5 | 4 | 3 | | 1.30 | 1.28 | |
3/24 | A | Madison | 5- | 17 | -12 | -7 | –– | 1.30 | -5.21 | |
3/27 | H | Langley | 8- | 16 | -8 | -7 | | -1.30 | -1.04 | |
3/31 | H | Stone Bridge | 5- | 12 | -7 | -1 | –– | -1.30 | -5.75 | |
4/04 | N | Ravenwood | 11- | 13 | -2 | 2 | – | 0.00 | | -3.72 |
4/06 | N | Wilmington Hoggard | 8- | 15 | -7 | -1 | –– | 0.00 | | -5.55 |
4/13 | H | McLean | 7- | 8 | -1 | 6 | ––– | -1.30 | -7.49 | |
4/24 | H | Marshall | 17- | 5 | 12 | 8 | ++ | -1.30 | 4.33 | |
4/25 | A | Woodson | 6- | 11 | -5 | -7 | + | 1.30 | 2.34 | |
4/28 | A | South Lakes | 11- | 9 | 2 | -1 | + | 1.30 | 3.33 | |
5/01 | A | Stone Bridge | 13- | 12 | 1 | -4 | ++ | 1.30 | 4.85 | |
5/05 | A | Langley | 5- | 15 | -10 | -10 | | 1.30 | -0.44 | |
5/12 | A | Chantilly | 6- | 10 | -4 | -8 | + | 1.30 | 3.70 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -9.27 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/24 | A | Madison | 5- | 17 | 2.00 |
4/24 | H | Marshall | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
5/05 | A | Langley | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.00 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 86. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1230 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 85.90 | | Natl Power Rank | 1230 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 89.99 | | Natl SOS Rank | 482 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.70 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2719 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.29 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2251 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -4.3 |
|
