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Durham Jordan Falcons (9-8)

Region: NC 4AState: NCCoach: Jamie Sliwa

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/05DURHAM ACADEMY (10-6)NC Prvate88.8L8-14 -0.125  
3/06MOUNT TABOR (11-9)NC 4A84.1L5- 6 -0.275  
3/10CEDAR RIDGE (8-10)NC 3A/2A76.1W12- 2 0.075  
3/12CARY HS (6-9)NC 4A75.9W14- 2 0.050  
3/19GREEN HOPE (9-5)NC 4A79.5L12-13 -0.375  
3/23at W.G. Enloe (5-10)NC 4A72.8W16- 2 0.025  
3/24CHAPEL HILL (18-2)NC 4A94.02L10-15 -0.100  
3/26NORTHERN DURHAM (1-12)NC 4A68.1W17- 4 0.000  
3/31at East Chapel Hill (14-5)NC 4A87.57L6- 9 -0.175  
4/02CARY-MIDDLE CREEK (6-12)NC 4A75.5W11- 5 0.050  
4/06at Panther Creek (4-13)NC 4A73.6W10- 7 0.075  
4/07DURHAM RIVERSIDE (5-10)NC 4A78.7W11- 7 0.125  
4/21at Chapel Hill (18-2)NC 4A94.02L9-10 -0.050  
4/23at Durham Riverside (5-10)NC 4A78.7W9- 6 0.175  
4/24at Northern Durham (1-12)NC 4A68.1W15- 3 0.000  
4/28EAST CHAPEL HILL (14-5)NC 4A87.57L6- 8 -0.225  
5/07at Chapel Hill (18-2)NC 4A94.02L5-17 -0.050  
 81.0     -0.80  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/05HDurham Academy8-14-6   -5       -1.12       -1.05
3/06HMount Tabor5-6-1   1       –-0.95       -2.03
3/10HCedar Ridge12-210   7       +-0.95       2.70
3/12HCary HS14-212   8       ++-0.95       4.29
3/19HGreen Hope12-13-1   5       –––-0.95       -6.48
3/23AW.G. Enloe16-214   9       ++0.95       5.03
3/24HChapel Hill10-15-5   -6       -0.95       1.19
3/26HNorthern Durham17-413   14       -0.95       -1.05
3/31AEast Chapel Hill6-9-3   -3       0.95       -0.20
4/02HCary-Middle Creek11-56   8       -0.95       -1.69
4/06APanther Creek10-73   7       –0.95       -3.54
4/07HDurham Riverside11-74   5       -0.95       -0.53
4/21AChapel Hill9-10-1   -8       +++0.95       7.09
4/23ADurham Riverside9-63   3       0.95       0.37
4/24ANorthern Durham15-312   12       0.95       -0.15
4/28HEast Chapel Hill6-8-2   -1       -0.95       -1.10
5/07AChapel Hill5-17-12   -8       –0.95       -3.91
         0.00-1.05

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/10HCedar Ridge12-20.00
3/12HCary HS14-2-2.00
3/23AW.G. Enloe16-2-4.00
3/26HNorthern Durham17-41.05
4/24ANorthern Durham15-30.15
5/07AChapel Hill5-172.00
10-goal correction: -0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 82.   Natl CCR Rank 1632
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 82.74   Natl Power Rank 1632
Natl SOS Rating 80.77   Natl SOS Rank 1952
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.80   Natl Quality Win Rank 2828
W-L Pct Rating 0.53   W-L Pct Rank 1356
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 9-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.7



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