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J Serra Catholic Lions (15-7)

Conference: D1Region: CA TrinityState: CACoach: Mike Hutnick

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/06vs. Foothill-Santa Ana # (21-5)CA Seaview95.72L7- 9 -0.150  
3/07vs. Los Alamitos # (19-2)CA Sunset94.83L7-10 -0.150  
3/11CHADWICK SCHOOL (2-10)CA So-Bay75.8W11- 2 0.000  
3/14vs. El Dorado # (3-12)CA Sunset73.2W11- 2 0.000  
3/17MISSION VIEJO (13-3)CA SoCoast91.69W8- 7 0.200  
3/19at Mater Dei (4-14)CA Trinity76.8W12- 5 0.025  
3/21at Corona Del Mar (20-2)CA PaCoast96.81L9-13 -0.075  
3/25at Saint Margaret's (12-5)CA Trinity91.87W8- 7ot0.325  
3/27at St John Bosco (3-13)CA Trinity71.4W11- 0 0.000  
3/31at Santa Margarita Cath (15-6)CA Trinity92.66L8-13 -0.150  
4/03ANAHEIM SERVITE (8-13)CA Trinity80.4W15- 1 0.000  
4/04ST JOHN BOSCO (3-13)CA Trinity71.4W14- 0 0.000  
4/07MATER DEI (4-14)CA Trinity76.8W16- 3 0.000  
4/21SAINT MARGARET'S (12-5)CA Trinity91.87L7-10 -0.250  
4/25OAK PARK (10-9)CA Indep86.2W16-11 0.125  
4/29SANTA MARGARITA CATH (15-6)CA Trinity92.66W14- 9 0.250  
5/01SAINT IGNATIUS PREP (21-1)CA Indep98.9L7-14 -0.100  
5/02at Anaheim Servite (8-13)CA Trinity80.4W14- 3 0.075  
5/05NEWPORT HARBOR (11-5)CA Sunset88.0L8-10 -0.375  
5/07CAPISTRANO VALLEY (8-10)CA SoCoast82.0W10- 5 0.075  
5/09DANA HILLS (13-7)CA SoCoast85.7W11- 6 0.075  
5/12vs. San Clemente # (16-4)CA SoCoast91.78W11- 9 1.225  
# Neutral site 85.7     1.12  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/06NFoothill-Santa Ana7-9-2   -4       +0.00       2.39
3/07NLos Alamitos7-10-3   -4       0.00       0.81
3/11HChadwick School11-29   11       –-1.58       -2.32
3/14NEl Dorado11-29   12       –0.00       -2.66
3/17HMission Viejo8-71   2       -1.58       -1.35
3/19AMater Dei12-57   9       1.58       -1.66
3/21ACorona Del Mar9-13-4   -7       +1.58       3.03
3/25ASaint Margaret's8-71   -3       ++1.58       4.21
3/27ASt John Bosco11-011   13       1.58       -1.71
3/31ASanta Margarita Cath8-13-5   -4       1.58       -1.49
4/03HAnaheim Servite15-114   10       +-1.58       3.89
4/04HSt John Bosco14-014   16       -1.58       -1.86
4/07HMater Dei16-313   12       -1.58       1.19
4/21HSaint Margaret's7-10-3   0       –-1.58       -2.95
4/25HOak Park16-115   5       -1.58       0.01
4/29HSanta Margarita Cath14-95   0       ++-1.58       5.35
5/01HSaint Ignatius Prep7-14-7   -6       -1.42       -0.98
5/02AAnaheim Servite14-311   7       ++1.58       4.04
5/05HNewport Harbor8-10-2   5       –––-1.58       -6.82
5/07HCapistrano Valley10-55   7       –-1.58       -2.02
5/09HDana Hills11-65   7       -1.58       -1.55
5/12NSan Clemente11-92   1       0.00       1.47
         0.00-0.98

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27ASt John Bosco11-01.71
4/03HAnaheim Servite15-1-3.89
4/04HSt John Bosco14-01.86
4/07HMater Dei16-3-1.19
5/02AAnaheim Servite14-3-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 92.   Natl CCR Rank 552
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 91.51   Natl Power Rank 552
Natl SOS Rating 85.59   Natl SOS Rank 1130
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.12   Natl Quality Win Rank 204
W-L Pct Rating 0.68   W-L Pct Rank 677
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -0.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.0



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