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Kellenberg Firebirds (4-14)

Region: NY CathState: NYCoach: John Fechtmann

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/17at Locust Valley (6-10)NY C Sec 888.5L7- 8 -0.075  
3/20at Farmingdale (13-5)NY A Sec 896.0L4-16 0.000  
3/27at St Mary's (7-10)NY Cath82.36W11- 5 0.175  
3/31HOLY TRINITY (9-11)NY Cath87.84L6-11 -0.175  
4/03SEAFORD (13-5)NY C Sec 895.1L1-12 0.000  
4/04at Herricks (6-10)NY B Sec 884.5W10- 6 0.325  
4/08CHAMINADE (14-5)NY Cath96.42L2-14 -0.025  
4/14ST DOMINIC (1-13)NY Cath73.97W13- 0 0.050  
4/15at Hicksville (16-4)NY A Sec 896.5L3-11 0.000  
4/17ST JOHN BAPTIST (10-11)NY Cath89.13L7- 8 -0.175  
4/23ST MARY'S (7-10)NY Cath82.36W16- 9 0.125  
4/25IONA PREP (19-4)NY Cathlc95.9L4-15 0.000  
4/28at Holy Trinity (9-11)NY Cath87.84L5-11 -0.150  
5/07ST ANTHONY'S (16-2)NY Cath99.71L7-17 0.000  
5/08at St John Baptist (10-11)NY Cath89.13L2- 9 -0.150  
5/11at St Anthony's (16-2)NY Cath99.71L4-14 0.000  
5/14at Chaminade (14-5)NY Cath96.42L2-10 0.000  
5/19ST JOHN BAPTIST (10-11)NY Cath89.13L2-12 -0.175  
 90.5     -0.25  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/17ALocust Valley7-8-1   -7       ++1.04       5.94
3/20AFarmingdale4-16-12   -14       +1.04       2.46
3/27ASt Mary's11-56   3       +0.80       3.08
3/31HHoly Trinity6-11-5   -3       –-0.80       -2.36
4/03HSeaford1-12-11   -12       -1.04       0.52
4/04AHerricks10-64   -3       +++1.04       6.91
4/08HChaminade2-14-12   -9       –-0.80       -3.36
4/14HSt Dominic13-013   8       ++-0.80       4.54
4/15AHicksville3-11-8   -15       +++1.04       6.91
4/17HSt John Baptist7-8-1   -3       -0.80       1.84
4/23HSt Mary's16-97   5       +-0.80       2.48
4/25HIona Prep4-15-11   -12       -1.35       0.97
4/28AHoly Trinity5-11-6   -4       0.80       -1.75
5/07HSt Anthony's7-17-10   -11       -0.80       0.70
5/08ASt John Baptist2-9-7   -4       –0.80       -2.55
5/11ASt Anthony's4-14-10   -12       +0.80       2.30
5/14AChaminade2-10-8   -10       +0.80       2.25
5/19HSt John Baptist2-12-10   -3       –––-0.80       -7.16
         0.0023.73

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/20AFarmingdale4-16-2.46
4/03HSeaford1-12-0.52
4/08HChaminade2-142.00
4/14HSt Dominic13-0-3.00
4/25HIona Prep4-15-0.97
5/07HSt Anthony's7-17-0.70
5/11ASt Anthony's4-14-2.30
5/19HSt John Baptist2-120.00
10-goal correction: -0.44

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 83.   Natl CCR Rank 1609
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 82.58   Natl Power Rank 1609
Natl SOS Rating 90.59   Natl SOS Rank 394
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.25   Natl Quality Win Rank 2024
W-L Pct Rating 0.22   W-L Pct Rank 2444
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-14   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-9   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -7.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-9   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -9.3



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