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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

South Kitsap Thunderbirds (1-11)

Region: WA 2 Olympic

State: WA

Coach: Mike Kehl

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/18	at Port Angeles (4-9)	WA 2 Olympic	69.4		L	4-	19		0.000
3/20	TACOMA (10-8)	WA 2 Olympic	79.0	10	L	0-	20		0.000
3/21	KINGS WAY CHRISTIAN (15-3)	WA 2 Olympic	84.4	5	L	1-	21		0.000
4/10	at Klahowya (7-7)	WA 2 Olympic	74.9		L	1-	15		0.000
4/14	at North Kitsap (1-11)	WA 2 Olympic	55.8		L	5-	10		-0.250
4/22	at Tacoma (10-8)	WA 2 Olympic	79.0	10	L	1-	18		0.000
4/23	STADIUM-WILSON (11-4)	WA 2 Olympic	79.1	9	L	1-	21		0.000
4/29	PORT ANGELES (4-9)	WA 2 Olympic	69.4		L	2-	12		0.000
5/02	at Kings Way Christian (15-3)	WA 2 Olympic	84.4	5	L	3-	21		0.000
5/05	NORTH KITSAP (1-11)	WA 2 Olympic	55.8		W	12-	4		0.200
5/08	at Stadium-Wilson (11-4)	WA 2 Olympic	79.1	9	L	0-	23		0.000
5/11	KLAHOWYA (7-7)	WA 2 Olympic	74.9		L	1-	18		0.000
			73.8						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/18	A	Port Angeles	4-	19	-15	-13	–	0.76	-2.38
3/20	H	Tacoma	0-	20	-20	-19		-0.76	-1.00
3/21	H	Kings Way Christian	1-	21	-20	-21		-0.76	0.65
4/10	A	Klahowya	1-	15	-14	-16	+	0.76	2.13
4/14	A	North Kitsap	5-	10	-5	0	––	0.76	-5.02
4/22	A	Tacoma	1-	18	-17	-21	+	0.76	3.51
4/23	H	Stadium-Wilson	1-	21	-20	-17	–	-0.76	-2.86
4/29	H	Port Angeles	2-	12	-10	-11		-0.76	1.10
5/02	A	Kings Way Christian	3-	21	-18	-22	++	0.76	4.16
5/05	H	North Kitsap	12-	4	8	2	+++	-0.76	6.46
5/08	A	Stadium-Wilson	0-	23	-23	-19	––	0.76	-4.35
5/11	H	Klahowya	1-	18	-17	-15	–	-0.76	-2.39
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/18	A	Port Angeles	4-	19	2.38
3/20	H	Tacoma	0-	20	1.00
3/21	H	Kings Way Christian	1-	21	-0.65
4/10	A	Klahowya	1-	15	-2.13
4/22	A	Tacoma	1-	18	-3.51
4/23	H	Stadium-Wilson	1-	21	2.86
4/29	H	Port Angeles	2-	12	-1.10
5/02	A	Kings Way Christian	3-	21	-4.16
5/08	A	Stadium-Wilson	0-	23	4.35
5/11	H	Klahowya	1-	18	2.39
10-goal correction: 0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	56.		Natl CCR Rank	3016
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	56.78		Natl Power Rank	3016
Natl SOS Rating	73.33		Natl SOS Rank	2753
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1596
W-L Pct Rating	0.08		W-L Pct Rank	2783
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-14.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-19.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-18.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-10.7

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