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Lafayette Lancers (23-1)

Conference: OSHL3Region: NY C Sec 3State: NYCoach: Mike Riese

Lafayette (NY) Keeps Writing Impressive Script

In the movie Hoosiers, a small school in Indiana captures the state championship despite having only a handful of players at a school with little enrollment.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* COR
4/01at Jamesville-DeWitt (19-4)NY B Sec 396.95W9- 4 0.175  
4/07at Bishop Ludden (7-12)NY C Sec 390.5W17- 7 0.000  
4/09MANLIUS-PEBBLE HILL (2-16)NY C Sec 379.7W18- 4 0.000  
4/14CHRISTIAN BROS-SYRACUS (12-8)NY C Sec 395.3W24-13 0.075  
4/16at Onondaga Central (5-13)NY C Sec 388.4W16- 5 0.000  
4/18at Chittenango (0-17)NY C Sec 382.1W26- 6 0.000  
4/21at Tully (8-10)NY C Sec 392.5W17- 6 0.050  
4/23at Jordan-Elbridge (4-14)NY C Sec 388.5W15- 3 0.000  
4/25CAZENOVIA CENTRAL (14-7)NY C Sec 396.28W11-10 0.075  
4/28at Westhill (14-7)NY C Sec 396.46W14- 5 0.175  
4/30at Homer (12-8)NY C Sec 395.79W21-10 0.125  
5/02at Skaneateles (18-2)NY C Sec 398.43W13- 9 0.225  
5/05MARCELLUS (9-11)NY C Sec 393.2W12- 7 0.000  
5/07BISHOP LUDDEN (7-12)NY C Sec 390.5W18- 7 0.000  
5/11at Manlius-Pebble Hill (2-16)NY C Sec 379.7W15- 4 0.000  
5/14at Christian Bros-Syracus (12-8)NY C Sec 395.3W21- 5 0.125  
5/18ONONDAGA CENTRAL (5-13)NY C Sec 388.4W18- 6 0.000  
5/21TULLY (8-10)NY C Sec 392.5W18- 6 0.000  
5/30MARCELLUS (9-11)NY C Sec 393.2W13- 7 0.000  
6/02vs. Westhill # (14-7)NY C Sec 396.46W15-10 0.125  
6/05vs. Skaneateles # (18-2)NY C Sec 398.43W14-10 0.200  
6/09vs. Salmon River # (18-1)NY C Sec 1095.8W22- 9 0.150  
6/11vs. Penn Yan # (20-3)NY C Sec 596.8W10- 6 0.175  
6/13vs. Manhasset # (20-1)NY C Sec 899.8L11-16 -0.250  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site		 92.5     1.42  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01AJamesville-DeWitt9-45   3       +1.20       2.45
4/07ABishop Ludden17-710   10       1.20       -0.03
4/09HManlius-Pebble Hill18-414   23       –––-1.20       -8.76
4/14HChristian Bros-Syracus24-1311   7       +-1.20       3.56
4/16AOnondaga Central16-511   13       –1.20       -2.22
4/18AChittenango26-620   17       +1.20       2.78
4/21ATully17-611   8       +1.20       3.22
4/23AJordan-Elbridge15-312   11       1.20       0.64
4/25HCazenovia Central11-101   7       –––-1.20       -6.30
4/28AWesthill14-59   3       ++1.20       5.52
4/30AHomer21-1011   5       +++1.20       6.05
5/02ASkaneateles13-94   1       +1.20       2.81
5/05HMarcellus12-75   11       ––-1.20       -5.51
5/07HBishop Ludden18-711   12       -1.20       -1.44
5/11AManlius-Pebble Hill15-411   20       –––1.20       -9.35
5/14AChristian Bros-Syracus21-516   5       +++1.20       10.97
5/18HOnondaga Central18-612   16       –-1.20       -3.63
5/21HTully18-612   10       -1.20       1.82
5/30HMarcellus13-76   11       ––-1.20       -4.51
6/02NWesthill15-105   5       0.00       0.32
6/05NSkaneateles14-104   2       0.00       1.61
6/09NSalmon River22-913   4       +++0.00       9.25
6/11NPenn Yan10-64   3       0.00       1.26
6/13NManhasset11-16-5   0       ––0.00       -4.75
         0.005.76

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/07ABishop Ludden17-70.03
4/09HManlius-Pebble Hill18-48.76
4/14HChristian Bros-Syracus24-13-1.00
4/16AOnondaga Central16-52.22
4/18AChittenango26-6-2.78
4/21ATully17-6-1.00
4/23AJordan-Elbridge15-3-0.64
4/30AHomer21-10-1.00
5/07HBishop Ludden18-71.44
5/11AManlius-Pebble Hill15-49.35
5/14AChristian Bros-Syracus21-5-6.00
5/18HOnondaga Central18-63.63
5/21HTully18-6-1.82
6/09NSalmon River22-9-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 199.   Natl CCR Rank 12
Natl Poll Vote 99.   Natl Poll Rank 11
Natl Power Rating 99.50   Natl Power Rank 12
Natl SOS Rating 92.41   Natl SOS Rank 200
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.42   Natl Quality Win Rank 136
W-L Pct Rating 0.96   W-L Pct Rank 24
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 23-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 8.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 4.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 7-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 5.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 13-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 7.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.0



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