| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Earl Brewer |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/19 | at Marshall (3-9) | VA Liberty | 80.8 | | W | 15- | 1 | | 0.000 |
3/25 | at McLean (3-10) | VA Liberty | 82.2 | | W | 14- | 0 | | 0.000 |
3/27 | at Thos Jefferson (4-10) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 16- | 8 | | 0.075 |
4/02 | at Stone Bridge (8-5) | VA Liberty | 90.2 | 10 | W | 16- | 1 | | 0.150 |
4/04 | ALBEMARLE (16-4) | VA Comw | 94.3 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.125 |
4/06 | vs. Broad Run # (16-4) | VA Dulles | 96.2 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.200 |
4/07 | vs. Potomac School # (12-6) | DC MAC | 93.5 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.125 |
4/08 | vs. Loudoun Valley # (17-4) | VA Cedar | 96.2 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.200 |
4/18 | SOUTH LAKES (5-7) | VA Liberty | 87.9 | | W | 16- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | WOODSON (11-6) | VA Liberty | 93.3 | 5 | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.150 |
4/28 | at Madison (11-3) | VA Liberty | 93.9 | 3 | L | 9- | 10 | ot | -0.275 |
4/29 | OAKTON (5-8) | VA Concord | 90.9 | 7 | W | 2- | 0 | | 0.125 |
5/01 | MCLEAN (3-10) | VA Liberty | 82.2 | | W | 11- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | THOS JEFFERSON (4-10) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | vs. Madison # (11-3) | VA Liberty | 93.9 | 3 | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.175 |
5/12 | OAKTON (5-8) | VA Concord | 90.9 | 7 | W | 6- | 3 | | 0.125 |
5/14 | LAKE BRADDOCK (7-5) | VA Patriot | 87.8 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/18 | vs. Chantilly # (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.200 |
5/20 | vs. Robinson # (12-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 4 | W | 6- | 5 | 2ot | 0.225 |
5/30 | BROOKE POINT (14-7) | VA Comw | 94.1 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.100 |
6/03 | vs. Broad Run # (16-4) | VA Dulles | 96.2 | | W | 15- | 9 | | 0.200 |
6/07 | vs. Chantilly # (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | W | 4- | 3 | ot | 1.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 90.9 | | | | | | 3.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/19 | A | Marshall | 15- | 1 | 14 | 13 | | 1.30 | 0.67 | |
3/25 | A | McLean | 14- | 0 | 14 | 12 | | 1.30 | 1.84 | |
3/27 | A | Thos Jefferson | 16- | 8 | 8 | 7 | | 1.30 | 1.04 | |
4/02 | A | Stone Bridge | 16- | 1 | 15 | 4 | +++ | 1.30 | 10.58 | |
4/04 | H | Albemarle | 10- | 3 | 7 | 5 | | -1.49 | | 1.61 |
4/06 | N | Broad Run | 12- | 7 | 5 | 2 | + | 0.00 | | 2.95 |
4/07 | N | Potomac School | 13- | 3 | 10 | 5 | ++ | 0.00 | | 5.26 |
4/08 | N | Loudoun Valley | 6- | 5 | 1 | 2 | | 0.00 | | -1.10 |
4/18 | H | South Lakes | 16- | 1 | 15 | 10 | ++ | -1.30 | 5.47 | |
4/24 | H | Woodson | 6- | 5 | 1 | 4 | – | -1.30 | -2.53 | |
4/28 | A | Madison | 9- | 10 | -1 | 1 | – | 1.30 | -2.47 | |
4/29 | H | Oakton | 2- | 0 | 2 | 5 | – | -1.30 | -3.12 | |
5/01 | H | McLean | 11- | 1 | 10 | 15 | –– | -1.30 | -4.76 | |
5/05 | H | Thos Jefferson | 15- | 5 | 10 | 10 | | -1.30 | 0.44 | |
5/08 | N | Madison | 11- | 8 | 3 | 3 | | 0.00 | 0.23 | |
5/12 | H | Oakton | 6- | 3 | 3 | 5 | – | -1.30 | -2.12 | |
5/14 | H | Lake Braddock | 10- | 5 | 5 | 10 | –– | -1.30 | -4.97 | |
5/18 | N | Chantilly | 6- | 4 | 2 | 2 | | 0.00 | 0.14 | |
5/20 | N | Robinson | 6- | 5 | 1 | 1 | | 0.00 | 0.43 | |
5/30 | H | Brooke Point | 14- | 4 | 10 | 6 | ++ | -1.49 | | 4.32 |
6/03 | N | Broad Run | 15- | 9 | 6 | 2 | + | 0.00 | | 3.95 |
6/07 | N | Chantilly | 4- | 3 | 1 | 2 | | 0.00 | -0.86 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 16.99 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/19 | A | Marshall | 15- | 1 | -0.67 |
3/25 | A | McLean | 14- | 0 | -1.84 |
4/02 | A | Stone Bridge | 16- | 1 | -5.00 |
4/07 | N | Potomac School | 13- | 3 | 0.00 |
4/18 | H | South Lakes | 16- | 1 | -5.47 |
5/01 | H | McLean | 11- | 1 | 4.76 |
5/05 | H | Thos Jefferson | 15- | 5 | -0.44 |
5/30 | H | Brooke Point | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.39 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 196. | | Natl CCR Rank | 47 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 98. | | Natl Poll Rank | 48 |
| Natl Power Rating | 98.25 | | Natl Power Rank | 54 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 90.85 | | Natl SOS Rank | 355 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 3.10 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 3 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.95 | | W-L Pct Rank | 32 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 21-1 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 5-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 8-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 12-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 5.7 |
| 
