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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Lakewood Ranch Lightning (8-6)

Region: FL WFLL-A

State: FL

Coach: Chris Markowski

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/05	at Sarasota Mil Academy (11-6)	FL WFLL-B	72.4		W	8-	6		0.200
2/11	TAMPA JESUIT (10-8)	FL WFLL-A	75.7		L	9-	10	ot	-0.275
2/14	at Clearwater (10-9)	FL WFLL-A	76.3		L	8-	10		-0.275
2/21	at St Petersburg (3-13)	FL WFLL-A	59.9		W	16-	1		0.000
2/25	at Cardinal Mooney (9-5)	FL WFLL-B	69.6		W	9-	4		0.125
3/02	CARDINAL MOONEY (9-5)	FL WFLL-B	69.6		W	11-	5		0.075
3/03	at Freedom-Tampa (8-9)	FL WFLL-A	73.2		L	4-	5	2ot	-0.250
3/11	at Hernando LC (1-10)	FL WFLL-A	55.9		W	13-	2		0.000
3/14	at Tampa Catholic (3-9)	FL WFLL-A	62.6		W	15-	2		0.000
3/21	CITRUS PARK (10-4)	FL WFLL-A	77.1		L	6-	7		-0.300
3/28	at Port Charlotte (8-8)	FL SWFL-NW	70.3		W	10-	4		0.175
4/04	WESLEY CHAPEL (11-5)	FL WFLL-A	81.6	8	L	6-	14		-0.125
4/11	H.B. PLANT (15-2)	FL WFLL-A	83.1	5	L	15-	16		-0.150
4/18	FISH HAWK LC (9-7)	FL WFLL-A	74.7		W	14-	3		0.175
			71.6						-0.63

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/05	A	Sarasota Mil Academy	8-	6	2	2		0.87	-0.29
2/11	H	Tampa Jesuit	9-	10	-1	1	–	-0.87	-2.26
2/14	A	Clearwater	8-	10	-2	1	–	0.87	-3.21
2/21	A	St Petersburg	16-	1	15	13		0.87	1.72
2/25	A	Cardinal Mooney	9-	4	5	5		0.87	-0.46
3/02	H	Cardinal Mooney	11-	5	6	7		-0.87	-1.21
3/03	A	Freedom-Tampa	4-	5	-1	0		0.87	-1.48
3/11	A	Hernando LC	13-	2	11	14	–	0.87	-2.64
3/14	A	Tampa Catholic	15-	2	13	12		0.87	1.42
3/21	H	Citrus Park	6-	7	-1	2	–	-0.87	-2.75
3/28	A	Port Charlotte	10-	4	6	3	+	0.87	3.07
4/04	H	Wesley Chapel	6-	14	-8	-5	–	-0.87	-2.95
4/11	H	H.B. Plant	15-	16	-1	-4	+	-0.87	2.80
4/18	H	Fish Hawk LC	14-	3	11	3	+++	-0.87	8.25
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/21	A	St Petersburg	16-	1	-1.72
3/11	A	Hernando LC	13-	2	2.64
3/14	A	Tampa Catholic	15-	2	-1.42
4/18	H	Fish Hawk LC	14-	3	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	2289
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.77		Natl Power Rank	2289
Natl SOS Rating	71.70		Natl SOS Rank	2841
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.63		Natl Quality Win Rank	2647
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	1142
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7

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