High School Computer Ratings

Longmeadow Lancers (15-7)

Conference: WestMass

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: John Rauseo

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/31	at Cathedral Springfield (4-16)	MA 2	90.1	9	W	14-	9		0.000
4/03	EAST LONGMEADOW (8-9)	MA 2	92.8	7	W	16-	3		0.050
4/07	at West Springfield (10-8)	MA 2	93.1	6	W	19-	8		0.075
4/14	NORTHAMPTON (10-8)	MA 2	93.1	5	W	14-	10		0.050
4/15	DEERFIELD (15-1)	NE 1 West	99.6		L	5-	19		-0.200
4/21	at Amherst-Pelham (5-12)	MA 2	91.8	8	W	13-	9		0.000
4/23	at Hotchkiss (10-3)	NE 1 West	96.3		L	0-	14		-0.225
4/25	PINKERTON (17-3)	NH 1	97.7		L	8-	17		-0.225
4/28	at South Hadley (14-9)	MA 2	93.8	4	W	13-	4		0.150
5/01	at Westfield (15-3)	MA 2	96.6	1	L	11-	12		-0.300
5/03	MEDFIELD (22-1)	MA 2	98.5		L	4-	13		-0.200
5/05	MINNECHAUG (12-6)	MA 2	95.4	3	W	11-	3		0.175
5/08	at St Johns Shrewsbury (19-4)	MA 2	97.0		L	11-	14		-0.200
5/12	AMHERST-PELHAM (5-12)	MA 2	91.8	8	W	18-	4		0.000
5/15	WESTFIELD (15-3)	MA 2	96.6	1	W	17-	6		0.150
5/16	at Algonquin (19-3)	MA 2	96.1		W	8-	7		0.275
5/19	at Minnechaug (12-6)	MA 2	95.4	3	W	8-	7		0.200
5/21	at Agawam (2-18)	MA 2	89.0		W	16-	7		0.000
5/26	SOUTH HADLEY (14-9)	MA 2	93.8	4	W	9-	7		0.125
5/30	EAST LONGMEADOW (8-9)	MA 2	92.8	7	W	15-	6		0.050
6/02	vs. Minnechaug # (12-6)	MA 2	95.4	3	W	11-	6		0.200
6/08	vs. South Hadley # (14-9)	MA 2	93.8	4	L	6-	7	ot	-0.375
# Neutral site			94.6						-0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	A	Cathedral Springfield	14-	9	5	11	–––	0.71	-6.39
4/03	H	East Longmeadow	16-	3	13	8	++	-0.71	4.53
4/07	A	West Springfield	19-	8	11	7	++	0.71	4.37
4/14	H	Northampton	14-	10	4	8	––	-0.71	-4.25
4/15	H	Deerfield	5-	19	-14	-2	–––	-1.01		-11.64
4/21	A	Amherst-Pelham	13-	9	4	10	––	0.71	-5.71
4/23	A	Hotchkiss	0-	14	-14	-1	–––	1.01		-12.91
4/25	H	Pinkerton	8-	17	-9	-1	–––	-0.91		-8.42
4/28	A	South Hadley	13-	4	9	4	++	0.71	5.12
5/01	A	Westfield	11-	12	-1	2	–	0.71	-3.49
5/03	H	Medfield	4-	13	-9	-2	–––	-0.81		-7.50
5/05	H	Minnechaug	11-	3	8	3	++	-0.71	5.04
5/08	A	St Johns Shrewsbury	11-	14	-3	-2		1.09		-1.14
5/12	H	Amherst-Pelham	18-	4	14	11	+	-0.71	2.86
5/15	H	Westfield	17-	6	11	4	+++	-0.71	7.08
5/16	A	Algonquin	8-	7	1	-1		1.09		1.91
5/19	A	Minnechaug	8-	7	1	2		0.71	-0.53
5/21	A	Agawam	16-	7	9	12	–	0.71	-3.02
5/26	H	South Hadley	9-	7	2	5	–	-0.71	-3.31
5/30	H	East Longmeadow	15-	6	9	8		-0.71	0.53
6/02	N	Minnechaug	11-	6	5	2	+	0.00	2.75
6/08	N	South Hadley	6-	7	-1	5	––	0.00	-5.60
									0.00	-39.70