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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Loudoun County Raiders (4-8)

Region: VA Dulles

State: VA

Coach: Adam Wilburn

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/11	GEORGE MASON (13-3)	VA Dulles	93.2	2	L	1-	14		-0.150
3/17	BRENTSVILLE (5-8)	VA NoWest	85.4		W	15-	8		0.175
3/30	at Dominion HS (11-7)	VA Dulles	90.8	4	L	7-	13		-0.025
4/02	at Heritage-Leesburg (7-6)	VA Dulles	89.0	7	L	10-	15		-0.125
4/07	at T.C. Williams (2-11)	VA Patriot	76.0		W	10-	7		0.050
4/13	BRIAR WOODS (7-9)	VA Dulles	90.5	5	L	7-	15		-0.150
4/16	at Freedom-South Riding (7-8)	VA Dulles	86.4	9	L	9-	12		-0.175
4/23	BROAD RUN (16-4)	VA Dulles	96.2	1	L	6-	17		0.000
4/27	at Potomac Falls (2-8)	VA Dulles	83.7		W	10-	6		0.300
4/30	at George Mason (13-3)	VA Dulles	93.2	2	L	7-	17		-0.050
5/02	at Eastern View (8-6)	VA Battfd	84.0		W	11-	10		0.200
5/12	at Dominion HS (11-7)	VA Dulles	90.8	4	L	7-	12		-0.025
			88.3						0.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	H	George Mason	1-	14	-13	-4	–––	-1.70	-8.55
3/17	H	Brentsville	15-	8	7	3	++	-1.70	4.39
3/30	A	Dominion HS	7-	13	-6	-9	+	1.70	2.98
4/02	A	Heritage-Leesburg	10-	15	-5	-5		1.70	0.12
4/07	A	T.C. Williams	10-	7	3	8	––	1.50		-5.36
4/13	H	Briar Woods	7-	15	-8	-4	––	-1.70	-4.30
4/16	A	Freedom-South Riding	9-	12	-3	-3		1.70	0.16
4/23	H	Broad Run	6-	17	-11	-10		-1.70	-0.92
4/27	A	Potomac Falls	10-	6	4	-2	++	1.70	5.56
4/30	A	George Mason	7-	17	-10	-8	–	1.70	-2.15
5/02	A	Eastern View	11-	10	1	2		1.70	-1.27
5/12	A	Dominion HS	7-	12	-5	-9	+	1.70	3.98
									0.00	-5.36

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/11	H	George Mason	1-	14	3.00
4/23	H	Broad Run	6-	17	1.00
4/30	A	George Mason	7-	17	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1228
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.86		Natl Power Rank	1228
Natl SOS Rating	88.20		Natl SOS Rank	743
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	1418
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	2123
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7

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