| Region: WA 2 Skagit | State: WA | Coach: Ted Girgus |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/15 | at Roosevelt (4-10) | WA 2 Evergrn | 75.2 | | L | 3- | 4 | | -0.225 |
3/18 | SAN JUAN (8-5) | WA 2 Skagit | 73.8 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.125 |
3/21 | vs. Lake City # (11-4) | ID North | 76.7 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.250 |
3/22 | COEUR D'ALENE (5-8) | ID North | 68.5 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.025 |
3/25 | MUKILTEO (15-3) | WA 2 Skagit | 84.0 | 6 | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.175 |
3/27 | at Whatcom (6-7) | WA 2 Skagit | 70.0 | | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.375 |
3/28 | PORT ANGELES (4-9) | WA 2 Olympic | 69.4 | | W | 15- | 8 | | 0.100 |
4/07 | SKAGIT VALLEY (0-12) | WA 2 Skagit | 58.6 | | W | 21- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/15 | at Mukilteo (15-3) | WA 2 Skagit | 84.0 | 6 | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.125 |
4/17 | at North County (2-11) | WA 2 Skagit | 64.7 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.025 |
4/21 | at Stanwood (7-7) | WA 2 Skagit | 71.7 | | W | 8- | 7 | ot | 0.150 |
4/23 | WHATCOM (6-7) | WA 2 Skagit | 70.0 | | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.075 |
4/25 | at San Juan (8-5) | WA 2 Skagit | 73.8 | | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.325 |
4/29 | at Skagit Valley (0-12) | WA 2 Skagit | 58.6 | | W | 12- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/06 | STANWOOD (7-7) | WA 2 Skagit | 71.7 | | W | 16- | 7 | | 0.125 |
5/12 | NORTH COUNTY (2-11) | WA 2 Skagit | 64.7 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/16 | TACOMA (10-8) | WA 2 Olympic | 79.0 | 10 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 71.4 | | | | | | -0.55 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/15 | A | Roosevelt | 3- | 4 | -1 | -1 | | 0.76 | -0.17 | |
3/18 | H | San Juan | 12- | 5 | 7 | 5 | + | -0.76 | 2.50 | |
3/21 | N | Lake City | 12- | 3 | 9 | 0 | +++ | 0.00 | | 9.11 |
3/22 | H | Coeur d'Alene | 9- | 6 | 3 | 9 | ––– | -1.07 | | -6.11 |
3/25 | H | Mukilteo | 6- | 15 | -9 | -3 | –– | -0.76 | -5.92 | |
3/27 | A | Whatcom | 8- | 9 | -1 | 5 | ––– | 0.76 | -6.28 | |
3/28 | H | Port Angeles | 15- | 8 | 7 | 6 | | -0.76 | 0.99 | |
4/07 | H | Skagit Valley | 21- | 1 | 20 | 15 | ++ | -0.76 | 4.69 | |
4/15 | A | Mukilteo | 6- | 9 | -3 | -5 | | 0.76 | 1.59 | |
4/17 | A | North County | 16- | 2 | 14 | 9 | ++ | 0.76 | 5.29 | |
4/21 | A | Stanwood | 8- | 7 | 1 | 4 | – | 0.76 | -2.63 | |
4/23 | H | Whatcom | 14- | 8 | 6 | 7 | | -0.76 | -0.79 | |
4/25 | A | San Juan | 9- | 10 | -1 | 3 | – | 0.76 | -3.99 | |
4/29 | A | Skagit Valley | 12- | 0 | 12 | 14 | | 0.76 | -1.79 | |
5/06 | H | Stanwood | 16- | 7 | 9 | 5 | + | -0.76 | 3.86 | |
5/12 | H | North County | 15- | 3 | 12 | 10 | | -0.76 | 1.78 | |
5/16 | H | Tacoma | 9- | 10 | -1 | -2 | | -0.76 | 0.88 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/07 | H | Skagit Valley | 21- | 1 | -4.69 |
4/17 | A | North County | 16- | 2 | -4.00 |
4/29 | A | Skagit Valley | 12- | 0 | 1.79 |
5/12 | H | North County | 15- | 3 | -1.78 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.51 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 76. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2223 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 76.59 | | Natl Power Rank | 2223 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 71.06 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2871 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.55 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2523 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.65 | | W-L Pct Rank | 832 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.7 |
|
