| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Rich Hodge |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/11 | at Westfield (7-8) | VA Concord | 90.1 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.250 |
3/14 | at Loudoun Valley (17-4) | VA Cedar | 96.2 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.350 |
3/17 | YORKTOWN (5-12) | VA Nationl | 83.0 | | W | 17- | 11 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | at South Lakes (5-7) | VA Liberty | 87.9 | | W | 10- | 8 | | 0.150 |
3/24 | THOS JEFFERSON (4-10) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 17- | 5 | | 0.075 |
3/27 | STONE BRIDGE (8-5) | VA Liberty | 90.2 | 10 | W | 16- | 9 | | 0.150 |
3/31 | at Woodson (11-6) | VA Liberty | 93.3 | 5 | L | 10- | 13 | | -0.200 |
4/02 | MARSHALL (3-9) | VA Liberty | 80.8 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/16 | at McLean (3-10) | VA Liberty | 82.2 | | W | 14- | 7 | | 0.025 |
4/28 | LANGLEY (21-1) | VA Liberty | 98.2 | 1 | W | 10- | 9 | ot | 0.275 |
5/01 | SOUTH LAKES (5-7) | VA Liberty | 87.9 | | W | 13- | 7 | | 0.075 |
5/06 | vs. Woodson # (11-6) | VA Liberty | 93.3 | 5 | W | 15- | 13 | | 0.275 |
5/08 | vs. Langley # (21-1) | VA Liberty | 98.2 | 1 | L | 8- | 11 | | -0.175 |
5/12 | ROBINSON (12-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 4 | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.225 |
| # Neutral site | | 90.0 | | | | | | 1.03 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/11 | A | Westfield | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 1.30 | 0.77 | |
3/14 | A | Loudoun Valley | 8- | 7 | 1 | -4 | ++ | 1.49 | | 4.74 |
3/17 | H | Yorktown | 17- | 11 | 6 | 11 | –– | -1.30 | -4.82 | |
3/20 | A | South Lakes | 10- | 8 | 2 | 4 | – | 1.30 | -2.16 | |
3/24 | H | Thos Jefferson | 17- | 5 | 12 | 7 | ++ | -1.30 | 5.21 | |
3/27 | H | Stone Bridge | 16- | 9 | 7 | 4 | + | -1.30 | 2.76 | |
3/31 | A | Woodson | 10- | 13 | -3 | -2 | | 1.30 | -1.15 | |
4/02 | H | Marshall | 18- | 5 | 13 | 13 | | -1.30 | -0.16 | |
4/16 | A | McLean | 14- | 7 | 7 | 9 | – | 1.30 | -2.38 | |
4/28 | H | Langley | 10- | 9 | 1 | -1 | + | -1.30 | 2.47 | |
5/01 | H | South Lakes | 13- | 7 | 6 | 7 | | -1.30 | -0.76 | |
5/06 | N | Woodson | 15- | 13 | 2 | -1 | + | 0.00 | 2.55 | |
5/08 | N | Langley | 8- | 11 | -3 | -3 | | 0.00 | -0.23 | |
5/12 | H | Robinson | 6- | 9 | -3 | -1 | – | -1.30 | -2.09 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 4.74 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/24 | H | Thos Jefferson | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
4/02 | H | Marshall | 18- | 5 | 0.16 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.13 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 336 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.90 | | Natl Power Rank | 336 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 90.04 | | Natl SOS Rank | 476 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.03 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 249 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.79 | | W-L Pct Rank | 344 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.3 |
|
