High School Computer Ratings

Cary-Middle Creek Mustangs (6-12)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Adam Gerace

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/04	EAST CHAPEL HILL (14-5)	NC 4A	87.5	7	L	0-	13		-0.050
3/06	WILMINGTON ASHLEY (7-9)	NC 4A	78.4		W	14-	9		0.225
3/10	at Apex (11-6)	NC 4A	83.6		L	5-	10		-0.100
3/17	ATHENS DRIVE (9-10)	NC 4A	75.3		W	8-	4		0.225
3/19	at Wakefield (19-1)	NC 4A	91.7	3	L	7-	18		0.000
3/21	at Wilmington Hoggard (14-7)	NC 4A	87.4	8	L	5-	12		0.000
3/24	BROUGHTON-NEEDHAM (10-4)	NC 4A	81.9		L	10-	12		-0.225
3/25	at Holly Springs (14-3)	NC 4A	86.8	10	L	5-	16		-0.025
3/31	CARY HS (6-9)	NC 4A	75.9		W	12-	11		0.225
4/02	at Durham Jordan (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		L	5-	11		-0.050
4/03	PANTHER CREEK (4-13)	NC 4A	73.6		W	14-	11		0.200
4/14	APEX (11-6)	NC 4A	83.6		L	5-	11		-0.150
4/16	at Green Hope (9-5)	NC 4A	79.5		L	5-	10		-0.175
4/17	W.G. ENLOE (5-10)	NC 4A	72.8		W	13-	12	ot	0.150
4/21	at Athens Drive (9-10)	NC 4A	75.3		L	3-	5		-0.225
4/24	GREEN HOPE (9-5)	NC 4A	79.5		W	13-	12		0.275
4/28	at Cary HS (6-9)	NC 4A	75.9		L	8-	9		-0.225
4/30	at Panther Creek (4-13)	NC 4A	73.6		L	4-	5	ot	-0.250
			80.3						-0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/04	H	East Chapel Hill	0-	13	-13	-8	––	-0.95	-5.36
3/06	H	Wilmington Ashley	14-	9	5	1	+	-0.95	3.85
3/10	A	Apex	5-	10	-5	-6		0.95	1.01
3/17	H	Athens Drive	8-	4	4	1	+	-0.95	2.74
3/19	A	Wakefield	7-	18	-11	-12		0.95	1.15
3/21	A	Wilmington Hoggard	5-	12	-7	-10	+	0.95	2.83
3/24	H	Broughton-Needham	10-	12	-2	-1		-0.95	-0.59
3/25	A	Holly Springs	5-	16	-11	-9		0.95	-1.82
3/31	H	Cary HS	12-	11	1	1		-0.95	0.03
4/02	A	Durham Jordan	5-	11	-6	-8		0.95	1.69
4/03	H	Panther Creek	14-	11	3	2		-0.95	1.30
4/14	H	Apex	5-	11	-6	-4		-0.95	-1.89
4/16	A	Green Hope	5-	10	-5	-3		0.95	-1.84
4/17	H	W.G. Enloe	13-	12	1	4	–	-0.95	-3.12
4/21	A	Athens Drive	3-	5	-2	-1		0.95	-1.36
4/24	H	Green Hope	13-	12	1	-1	+	-0.95	2.26
4/28	A	Cary HS	8-	9	-1	-1		0.95	-0.07
4/30	A	Panther Creek	4-	5	-1	0		0.95	-0.80
									0.00	0.00