| Conference: TriVal | Region: MA 3 | State: MA | Coach: Mark Brady |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/27 | HOPKINTON (10-9) | MA 2 | 94.0 | | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.125 |
3/31 | DOVER-SHERBORN (16-6) | MA 3 | 96.8 | | L | 5- | 14 | | -0.050 |
4/02 | at Ashland (0-19) | MA 3 | 74.0 | | W | 15- | 7 | | 0.000 |
4/07 | at Medfield (22-1) | MA 2 | 98.5 | 3 | L | 2- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/09 | at Bellingham (3-17) | MA 3 | 82.2 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.100 |
4/14 | WESTWOOD (13-9) | MA 3 | 93.4 | | L | 4- | 6 | | -0.200 |
4/17 | at Holliston (10-8) | MA 2 | 93.1 | | W | 12- | 11 | ot | 0.375 |
4/23 | at Natick (10-10) | MA 2 | 92.9 | | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.150 |
4/24 | FOXBOROUGH (11-8) | MA 2 | 94.0 | | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.175 |
4/28 | at Hopkinton (10-9) | MA 2 | 94.0 | | L | 2- | 7 | | -0.075 |
5/01 | at Dover-Sherborn (16-6) | MA 3 | 96.8 | | L | 1- | 14 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | ASHLAND (0-19) | MA 3 | 74.0 | | W | 14- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/07 | MEDFIELD (22-1) | MA 2 | 98.5 | 3 | L | 2- | 14 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | at Canton (1-15) | MA 2 | 85.5 | | W | 5- | 3 | | 0.225 |
5/12 | BELLINGHAM (3-17) | MA 3 | 82.2 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.075 |
5/14 | at Westwood (13-9) | MA 3 | 93.4 | | L | 6- | 10 | | -0.150 |
5/18 | at Foxborough (11-8) | MA 2 | 94.0 | | L | 5- | 13 | | -0.125 |
5/19 | HOLLISTON (10-8) | MA 2 | 93.1 | | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.175 |
| | 90.6 | | | | | | -0.45 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/27 | H | Hopkinton | 5- | 12 | -7 | -5 | – | -0.91 | -2.32 | |
3/31 | H | Dover-Sherborn | 5- | 14 | -9 | -8 | | -0.91 | -0.78 | |
4/02 | A | Ashland | 15- | 7 | 8 | 11 | – | 0.91 | -2.53 | |
4/07 | A | Medfield | 2- | 17 | -15 | -16 | | 0.91 | 1.38 | |
4/09 | A | Bellingham | 9- | 4 | 5 | 6 | | 0.91 | -0.63 | |
4/14 | H | Westwood | 4- | 6 | -2 | -2 | | -0.91 | 0.15 | |
4/17 | A | Holliston | 12- | 11 | 1 | -5 | ++ | 0.91 | 5.69 | |
4/23 | A | Natick | 7- | 10 | -3 | -4 | | 0.91 | 1.04 | |
4/24 | H | Foxborough | 5- | 10 | -5 | -3 | | -0.91 | -1.65 | |
4/28 | A | Hopkinton | 2- | 7 | -5 | -7 | | 0.91 | 1.50 | |
5/01 | A | Dover-Sherborn | 1- | 14 | -13 | -10 | – | 0.91 | -2.95 | |
5/05 | H | Ashland | 14- | 1 | 13 | 12 | | -0.91 | 0.65 | |
5/07 | H | Medfield | 2- | 14 | -12 | -15 | + | -0.91 | 2.56 | |
5/08 | A | Canton | 5- | 3 | 2 | 1 | | 0.91 | 1.32 | |
5/12 | H | Bellingham | 13- | 5 | 8 | 7 | | -0.91 | 0.55 | |
5/14 | A | Westwood | 6- | 10 | -4 | -4 | | 0.91 | -0.02 | |
5/18 | A | Foxborough | 5- | 13 | -8 | -5 | – | 0.91 | -2.83 | |
5/19 | H | Holliston | 7- | 11 | -4 | -3 | | -0.91 | -1.13 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/07 | A | Medfield | 2- | 17 | -1.38 |
5/01 | A | Dover-Sherborn | 1- | 14 | 3.00 |
5/05 | H | Ashland | 14- | 1 | -0.65 |
5/07 | H | Medfield | 2- | 14 | -2.56 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.09 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 89. | | Natl CCR Rank | 865 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 89.09 | | Natl Power Rank | 865 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 90.59 | | Natl SOS Rank | 393 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.45 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2385 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.33 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2072 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-12 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -12.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -5.3 |
|
