| Region: NY C Sec 6 | State: NY | Coach: Travis Phillips |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/24 | LAKE SHORE CENTRAL (6-10) | NY B Sec 6 | 74.7 | | W | 8- | 7 | +ot | 0.375 |
3/30 | LOCKPORT (4-14) | NY A Sec 6 | 73.0 | | L | 4- | 7 | | -0.175 |
4/01 | WILSON (3-14) | NY C Sec 6 | 70.5 | | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.250 |
4/03 | at Akron (8-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 74.9 | | L | 3- | 10 | | -0.075 |
4/06 | EAST AURORA (10-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 77.5 | | L | 3- | 15 | | -0.050 |
4/09 | GOWANDA (15-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 80.8 | | L | 9- | 18 | | -0.025 |
4/20 | SILVER CREEK (10-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 75.4 | | W | 11- | 5 | | 0.350 |
4/22 | SALAMANCA (13-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 80.9 | | L | 7- | 13 | | 0.000 |
4/28 | EDEN (10-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 76.6 | | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.075 |
4/30 | at Silver Creek (10-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 75.4 | | L | 8- | 17 | | -0.075 |
5/04 | at Gowanda (15-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 80.8 | | L | 8- | 15 | | 0.000 |
5/06 | at East Aurora (10-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 77.5 | | L | 11- | 17 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | at Eden (10-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 76.6 | | L | 4- | 15 | | 0.000 |
5/12 | AKRON (8-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 74.9 | | L | 3- | 10 | | -0.150 |
5/13 | at Salamanca (13-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 80.9 | | L | 5- | 24 | | 0.000 |
5/20 | at Wilson (3-14) | NY C Sec 6 | 70.5 | | L | 1- | 16 | | -0.175 |
5/29 | at Salamanca (13-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 80.9 | | L | 5- | 17 | | 0.000 |
| | 76.6 | | | | | | -0.33 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/24 | H | Lake Shore Central | 8- | 7 | 1 | -5 | ++ | -1.35 | 5.94 | |
3/30 | H | Lockport | 4- | 7 | -3 | -3 | | -1.35 | 0.25 | |
4/01 | H | Wilson | 8- | 10 | -2 | 0 | | -1.35 | -1.89 | |
4/03 | A | Akron | 3- | 10 | -7 | -7 | | 1.35 | -0.35 | |
4/06 | H | East Aurora | 3- | 15 | -12 | -8 | –– | -1.35 | -4.11 | |
4/09 | H | Gowanda | 9- | 18 | -9 | -9 | | -1.35 | 0.15 | |
4/20 | H | Silver Creek | 11- | 5 | 6 | -4 | +++ | -1.35 | 10.46 | |
4/22 | H | Salamanca | 7- | 13 | -6 | -10 | ++ | -1.35 | 4.45 | |
4/28 | H | Eden | 4- | 12 | -8 | -7 | | -1.35 | -1.11 | |
4/30 | A | Silver Creek | 8- | 17 | -9 | -7 | | 1.35 | -1.84 | |
5/04 | A | Gowanda | 8- | 15 | -7 | -12 | ++ | 1.35 | 4.84 | |
5/06 | A | East Aurora | 11- | 17 | -6 | -11 | ++ | 1.35 | 4.59 | |
5/08 | A | Eden | 4- | 15 | -11 | -10 | | 1.35 | -1.41 | |
5/12 | H | Akron | 3- | 10 | -7 | -4 | – | -1.35 | -3.05 | |
5/13 | A | Salamanca | 5- | 24 | -19 | -13 | –– | 1.35 | -5.86 | |
5/20 | A | Wilson | 1- | 16 | -15 | -3 | ––– | 1.35 | -12.19 | |
5/29 | A | Salamanca | 5- | 17 | -12 | -13 | | 1.35 | 1.14 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/06 | H | East Aurora | 3- | 15 | 2.00 |
5/08 | A | Eden | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
5/13 | A | Salamanca | 5- | 24 | 5.86 |
5/20 | A | Wilson | 1- | 16 | 5.00 |
5/29 | A | Salamanca | 5- | 17 | -1.14 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.75 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 69. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2762 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 69.38 | | Natl Power Rank | 2762 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 76.03 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2530 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.33 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2180 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.12 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2710 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 2-15 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -7.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -10.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -15.3 |
|
