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Mercer Island Islanders (18-5)

Region: WA 1 Div-1State: WACoach: Ian O'Hearn

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/13TIMBERLINE (21-4)ID South89.1W16- 3 0.025  
3/14WEST LINN (13-7)OR Rivers91.8W13- 8 0.100  
3/17LAKESIDE (3-10)WA 1 Div-184.2W19- 3 0.000  
3/20SKYLINE (11-9)WA 1 Div-190.87W18- 3 0.000  
3/24PUYALLUP (6-8)WA 1 Div-188.78W14- 1 0.000  
3/27at Northshore-Bothell (11-6)WA 1 Div-190.86W15- 9 0.050  
3/31at Corning East (18-2)NY B Sec 499.2L5-16 -0.150  
4/02at West Genesee (20-2)NY A Sec 398.5L3-13 -0.150  
4/03at Guilderland (20-3)NY A Sec 295.6L7-12 -0.225  
4/04at Lakeland/Panas (13-5)NY A Sec 195.0L3-10 -0.250  
4/08SEATTLE PREP (7-11)WA 1 Div-186.510W19- 0 0.000  
4/18BAINBRIDGE ISLAND (14-4)WA 1 Div-195.63W7- 62ot0.175  
4/22at Bellevue (11-7)WA 1 Div-192.54W14- 7 0.150  
4/24ISSAQUAH (19-2)WA 1 Div-197.21W6- 4 0.150  
4/28at Garfield (0-13)WA 1 Div-178.8W15- 0 0.000  
5/01VASHON ISLAND (6-8)WA 1 Div-188.09W19- 3 0.000  
5/06at Maple Valley-Tahoma (1-13)WA 1 Div-181.9W14- 1 0.000  
5/08LINCOLN (19-5)OR Columb95.2W13-12 0.175  
5/12at Eastlake (2-12)WA 1 Div-184.5W16- 1 0.000  
5/15CURTIS (12-6)WA 1 Div-192.25W12- 7 0.025  
5/22VASHON ISLAND (6-8)WA 1 Div-188.09W18- 0 0.000  
5/27CURTIS (12-6)WA 1 Div-192.25W19- 4 0.025  
5/30vs. Issaquah # (19-2)WA 1 Div-197.21L9-10 -0.300  
# Neutral site 91.0     -0.20  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/13HTimberline16-313   9       +-1.69       3.97
3/14HWest Linn13-85   6       -1.31       -0.93
3/17HLakeside19-316   18       -2.00       -1.62
3/20HSkyline18-315   11       +-2.00       3.99
3/24HPuyallup14-113   13       -2.00       0.09
3/27ANorthshore-Bothell15-96   8       2.00       -2.12
3/31ACorning East5-16-11   -4       –––1.59       -6.70
4/02AWest Genesee3-13-10   -4       –––1.60       -6.39
4/03AGuilderland7-12-5   -1       ––1.51       -4.30
4/04ALakeland/Panas3-10-7   0       –––1.67       -6.82
4/08HSeattle Prep19-019   15       +-2.00       3.66
4/18HBainbridge Island7-61   3       -2.00       -2.08
4/22ABellevue14-77   4       +2.00       3.19
4/24HIssaquah6-42   4       -2.00       -2.40
4/28AGarfield15-015   20       ––2.00       -4.77
5/01HVashon Island19-316   14       -2.00       1.62
5/06AMaple Valley-Tahoma14-113   16       2.00       -2.70
5/08HLincoln13-121   3       -1.31       -1.55
5/12AEastlake16-115   13       2.00       1.88
5/15HCurtis12-75   9       ––-2.00       -4.47
5/22HVashon Island18-018   14       +-2.00       3.62
5/27HCurtis19-415   9       ++-2.00       5.53
5/30NIssaquah9-10-1   2       0.00       -3.40
         0.00-22.72

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/13HTimberline16-3-3.00
3/17HLakeside19-31.62
3/20HSkyline18-3-3.99
3/24HPuyallup14-1-0.09
3/31ACorning East5-161.00
4/02AWest Genesee3-130.00
4/08HSeattle Prep19-0-3.66
4/28AGarfield15-04.77
5/01HVashon Island19-3-1.62
5/06AMaple Valley-Tahoma14-12.70
5/12AEastlake16-1-1.88
5/22HVashon Island18-0-3.62
5/27HCurtis19-4-5.00
10-goal correction: -0.55

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 97.   Natl CCR Rank 140
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 96.44   Natl Power Rank 140
Natl SOS Rating 90.98   Natl SOS Rank 340
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.20   Natl Quality Win Rank 1934
W-L Pct Rating 0.78   W-L Pct Rank 349
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 5-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 4.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 11-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 9.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 15-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 10.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 10.7



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