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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Monticello Mustangs (4-8)

Region: VA Jeffsn

State: VA

Coach: Matthew Kenney

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/18	ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (8-5)	VA Valley	88.5	8	L	10-	11		-0.250
3/21	at Eastern View (8-6)	VA Battfd	84.0		W	10-	8		0.175
3/24	JAMES RIVER (3-7)	VA Jeffsn	83.7		L	2-	3		-0.350
3/27	E.C. GLASS (12-2)	VA WesVal	92.1		L	10-	11	ot	-0.125
4/10	at Western Albemarle (8-9)	VA Jeffsn	89.2	6	L	3-	10		-0.075
4/14	at Charlottesville (2-11)	VA Jeffsn	79.2		W	11-	2		0.175
4/21	SALEM (12-6)	VA RivRdg	92.3	3	L	7-	16		-0.100
4/23	at Kettle Run (3-8)	VA NoWest	77.3		W	15-	5		0.100
4/24	ALBEMARLE (16-4)	VA Comw	94.5		L	3-	10		-0.075
5/02	at Brentsville (5-8)	VA NoWest	85.4		L	5-	9		-0.250
5/05	EASTERN VIEW (8-6)	VA Battfd	84.0		W	16-	7		0.100
5/07	at E.C. Glass (12-2)	VA WesVal	92.1		L	3-	14		-0.050
			86.9						-0.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/18	H	Rockbridge County	10-	11	-1	0		-1.70	-0.55
3/21	A	Eastern View	10-	8	2	3		1.70	-0.75
3/24	H	James River	2-	3	-1	4	––	-1.70	-4.67
3/27	H	E.C. Glass	10-	11	-1	-5	+	-1.69		3.61
4/10	A	Western Albemarle	3-	10	-7	-7		1.70	0.43
4/14	A	Charlottesville	11-	2	9	3	++	1.70	5.69
4/21	H	Salem	7-	16	-9	-6	–	-1.70	-2.97
4/23	A	Kettle Run	15-	5	10	6	+	1.70	3.68
4/24	H	Albemarle	3-	10	-7	-7		-1.69		-0.02
5/02	A	Brentsville	5-	9	-4	0	–	1.70	-3.69
5/05	H	Eastern View	16-	7	9	6	+	-1.70	2.85
5/07	A	E.C. Glass	3-	14	-11	-8	–	1.69		-3.02
									0.00	0.57

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	A	Kettle Run	15-	5	0.00
5/07	A	E.C. Glass	3-	14	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1234
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.80		Natl Power Rank	1234
Natl SOS Rating	86.82		Natl SOS Rank	951
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	2793
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	2124
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0

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