| Region: MD 21 West | State: MD | Coach: Dan Sageman |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/20 | at River Hill (9-8) | MD 32 South | 87.5 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.200 |
3/24 | GLENELG HS (14-4) | MD 21 West | 93.8 | 10 | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.275 |
3/27 | ATHOLTON (9-6) | MD 32 South | 89.7 | | W | 6- | 5 | ot | 0.175 |
4/02 | at Reservoir (12-6) | MD 32 South | 89.9 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.200 |
4/11 | vs. Mount St Joseph # (9-8) | MD A MIAA | 95.3 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.175 |
4/11 | vs. Winters Mill # (9-7) | MD 32 West | 89.3 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.200 |
4/14 | WILDE LAKE (3-12) | MD 32 South | 81.9 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.050 |
4/16 | OAKLAND MILLS (0-13) | MD 21 West | 69.9 | | W | 19- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/18 | SOUTH CARROLL (12-2) | MD 21 West | 93.4 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.225 |
4/21 | LONG REACH (3-11) | MD 32 South | 78.0 | | W | 19- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | at Howard (10-6) | MD 32 South | 88.4 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.200 |
4/27 | at Mount Hebron (4-13) | MD 32 South | 79.7 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.025 |
4/28 | at Hammond (2-12) | MD 32 South | 76.6 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | CENTENNIAL (15-4) | MD 32 South | 93.7 | | L | 15- | 17 | | -0.250 |
5/05 | vs. South River # (18-1) | MD 43 East | 98.6 | 2 | L | 3- | 10 | | -0.125 |
5/09 | SMITHSBURG (8-7) | MD 21 West | 79.4 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/11 | CENTURY (12-4) | MD 21 West | 92.4 | | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.275 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.9 | | | | | | 0.73 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/20 | A | River Hill | 11- | 6 | 5 | 2 | + | 1.02 | 2.62 | |
3/24 | H | Glenelg HS | 7- | 6 | 1 | -1 | | -1.02 | 1.97 | |
3/27 | H | Atholton | 6- | 5 | 1 | 3 | – | -1.02 | -2.21 | |
4/02 | A | Reservoir | 9- | 6 | 3 | 2 | | 1.02 | 1.47 | |
4/11 | N | Mount St Joseph | 7- | 8 | -1 | -3 | | 0.00 | | 1.87 |
4/11 | N | Winters Mill | 7- | 6 | 1 | 2 | | 0.00 | -0.52 | |
4/14 | H | Wilde Lake | 9- | 4 | 5 | 8 | – | -1.02 | -2.87 | |
4/16 | H | Oakland Mills | 19- | 0 | 19 | 20 | | -1.02 | -0.99 | |
4/18 | H | South Carroll | 11- | 10 | 1 | 1 | | -1.02 | 0.14 | |
4/21 | H | Long Reach | 19- | 1 | 18 | 14 | + | -1.02 | 3.87 | |
4/24 | A | Howard | 11- | 6 | 5 | 2 | + | 1.02 | 2.53 | |
4/27 | A | Mount Hebron | 14- | 4 | 10 | 9 | | 1.02 | 1.14 | |
4/28 | A | Hammond | 16- | 2 | 14 | 12 | | 1.02 | 1.73 | |
5/01 | H | Centennial | 15- | 17 | -2 | 0 | – | -1.02 | -2.28 | |
5/05 | N | South River | 3- | 10 | -7 | -5 | – | 0.00 | -2.05 | |
5/09 | H | Smithsburg | 15- | 2 | 13 | 14 | | -1.02 | -1.36 | |
5/11 | H | Century | 9- | 11 | -2 | 1 | – | -1.02 | -3.19 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 1.87 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/16 | H | Oakland Mills | 19- | 0 | 0.99 |
4/21 | H | Long Reach | 19- | 1 | -3.87 |
4/27 | A | Mount Hebron | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
4/28 | A | Hammond | 16- | 2 | -1.73 |
5/09 | H | Smithsburg | 15- | 2 | 1.37 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.19 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 465 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.43 | | Natl Power Rank | 465 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 86.86 | | Natl SOS Rank | 943 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.73 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 430 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.76 | | W-L Pct Rank | 394 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.3 |
|
